NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 1 UNITED STATES OF AMERICA DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE AND DEPARTMENT OF HEALTH AND HUMAN SERVICES DIETARY GUIDELINES ADVISORY COMMITTEE FOURTH MEETING WEDNESDAY, NOVEMBER 4, 2009 The meeting came to order at 1:00 p.m. Dr. Linda Van Horn, Chairperson, presiding. PRESENT: LINDA V. VAN HORN, PHD, RD, LD, CHAIR NAOMI K. FUKAGAWA, MD, PHD, VICE CHAIR CHERYL ACHTERBERG, PHD, MEMBER LAWRENCE J. APPEL, MD, MPH, MEMBER ROGER A. CLEMENS, DRPH, MEMBER MIRIAM E. NELSON, PHD, MEMBER SHARON (SHELLY) M. NICKOLS-RICHARDSON, PHD, RD, MEMBER THOMAS A. PEARSON, MD, PHD, MPH, MEMBER RAFAEL PEREZ-ESCAMILLA, PHD, MEMBER XAVIER F. PI-SUNYER, MD, MPH, MEMBER ERIC B. RIMM, SCD, MEMBER JOANNE L. SLAVIN, PHD, RD, MEMBER CHRISTINE L. WILLIAMS, MD, MPH, MEMBER NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 2 ALSO PRESENT: CAROLE DAVIS, MS, RD, CO-EXECUTIVE SECRETARY AND DFO, CNPP, USDA KATHRYN McMURRY, MS, CO-EXECUTIVE SECRETARY, ODPHP, HHS SHANTHY BOWMAN, PHD, CO-EXECUTIVE SECRETARY, ARS, USDA HOLLY McPEAK, MS, CO-EXECUTIVE SECRETARY, ODPHP, HHS RAJ ANAND, DVM, MPH, EXECUTIVE DIRECTOR, CNPP, USDA RADM PENELOPE SLADE-SAWYER, PT, MSW, DEPUTY ASSISTANT SECRETARY FOR HEALTH, DPHD, HHS CAPT SARAH LINDE-FEUCHT, MD, DEPUTY DIRECTOR, ODPHP, HHS ROBERT POST, PHD, DEPUTY DIRECTOR, CNPP, USDA NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 3 AGENDA Wednesday, November 4, 2009 1:00 p.m. Opening Remarks PAGE Raj Anand, Executive Director Center for Nutrition Policy and Promotion U.S. Department of Agriculture 4 Sarah Linde-Feucht, Deputy Director Office of Disease Prevention and Health Promotion U.S. Department of Health and Human Services 9 Linda Van Horn, Chair, Dietary Guidelines Advisory Committee 13 SUBCOMMITTEE TOPIC AREA DISCUSSIONS 1:30 p.m. Nutrient Adequacy Chair: Shelly Nickols-Richardson 26 3:00 p.m. Carbohydrates and Protein Chair: Joanne Slavin 118 5:00 p.m. Meeting Recess 218 NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 4 1 P R O C E E D I N G S 2 1:00 p.m. 3 DR. ANAND: Ladies and gentlemen, 4 good afternoon from Washington. Those of you 5 who have come from off site, luckily we have a 6 nice weather for you. So, if you get a 7 chance, go out. 8 I am Raj Anand, the Executive 9 Director for USDA’s Center of Nutritional 10 Policy and Promotion. 11 I would also like to welcome 12 people who are on webinar for the fourth 13 meeting of the 2010 Dietary Guideline Advisory 14 Committee. 15 I would really like to thank the 16 Committee for their contributions, and I want 17 each member to know that their service is 18 highly-appreciated. 19 I would also like to acknowledge 20 the cooperation between USDA and our partners 21 in the 2010 Dietary Guideline process, the 22 Department of Health and Human Services, the NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 5 1 ARS, the Agricultural Research Service, and 2 the original committee members at the table 3 here today. 4 We also have some members, and 5 I'll take the liberty of introducing them. On 6 my right is Dr. Robert Post, Deputy Director 7 of the USDA's Center for Nutrition Policy and 8 Promotion. 9 Next to him is Ms. Carole Davis, 10 Director of Nutrition Guidance and Analysis 11 Division of the CNPP. Carole is a Designated 12 Federal Officer and Co-Executive Secretary of 13 the DGAC and I call her the Queen of Dietary 14 Guidelines. She lives and breathes dietary 15 guidelines, believe me. 16 On the left also, Rear Admiral 17 Penny Slade-Sawyer, Director of Office of 18 Disease Prevention, Health Promotion, will be 19 joining us later. 20 But we do have Capt. Sara Linde- 21 Feucht, Deputy Director, Office of Disease 22 Prevention and Health Promotion. And we also NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 6 1 have Ms. Kathryn McMurry, Senior Nutrition 2 Advisor at the Office of Disease Prevention 3 and Health Promotion at the HHS. She also Co- 4 Executive Secretary of the DGAC, which is the 5 Dietary Guideline Advisory Committee. 6 I would like to take the liberty 7 of reminding the Committee of their charge. 8 Your charge is informing the Secretaries of 9 both departments of the changes to dietary 10 guidelines that are warranted, based on the 11 preponderance of most current scientific and 12 medical evidence, placing their primary focus 13 on the review of scientific evidence published 14 since the last Dietary Guideline Advisory 15 Committee deliberation, emphasizing the 16 development of food-based recommendations, not 17 nutrient-based, preparing and submitting a 18 report of technical recommendation with 19 rationales to the Secretaries of USDA and HHS. 20 The charge also states that the 21 DGAC does not have the responsibility of 22 translating these recommendations into policy NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 7 1 or communication document. 2 This committee is governed by the 3 Federal Advisory Committee Act, or otherwise 4 called as FACA. FACA was established to 5 assure that advisory committees, one, provide 6 advice to -- provide advice that's relevant, 7 objective, open to public, they act promptly 8 to complete their work -- Remember, they act 9 promptly to complete their work in time -- 10 comply with reasonable cost controls and keep 11 recordkeeping requirements. 12 Therefore, each public meeting of 13 this committee has been and will continue to 14 be announced in the Federal Register through a 15 public notice. 16 As part of the open, transparent 17 process, the meeting -- the full committee are 18 open for observation by the public, and any 19 deliberation that occur between meetings, such 20 as those topic-specific subcommittees are 21 brought back to the full committee at a public 22 meeting, as you will hear today and tomorrow. NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 8 1 During the meeting, all public 2 participants will be in a listen-only mode. 3 The public has opportunities to participate in 4 the process by providing written comments to 5 the committee through our on-line public 6 comments database at www.dietaryguidelines. 7 gov. I repeat, www.dietaryguidelines.gov. 8 In the recent rules of FACA, I 9 would also like to introduce some rules of 10 engagement for the committee. The Dietary 11 Guideline Advisory Committee Members will 12 refer any individual who contacts them 13 personally to solicit information about their 14 work on the committee, the Dietary Guideline 15 Management Team. 16 The committee members are not able 17 to speak or give presentation to any 18 individual or outside group regarding the work 19 of the committee, as this would be 20 inconsistent with the Advisory Committee 21 operations, and would preclude the requirement 22 the committee works is transparent to public. NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 9 1 Now, I want to recognize Capt. 2 Sarah Linde-Feucht from HHS, who would make 3 some comments and that will be followed by our 4 Deputy Director, Rob Post. Sarah. 5 CAPT. LINDE-FEUCHT: Thank you so 6 much, Dr. Anand. Good afternoon, everybody. 7 As introduced, I am Dr. Sarah 8 Linde-Feucht, and I'm the Deputy Director of 9 the Office of Disease Prevention and Health 10 Promotion. And for those of you who are 11 interested in the shorter name, we call it 12 ODPHP, part of the Department of Health and 13 Human Services. 14 I'm giving the welcoming remarks 15 on behalf of Rear Admiral Slade-Sawyer, who 16 will be joining us later. She had an 17 engagement that precluded her attendance right 18 at this moment, but she will be joining us 19 just as soon as she can. 20 On behalf of her and the 21 Department of Health and Human Services, I 22 would like to join Dr. Anand in welcoming the NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 10 1 Committee Members, and also the listening 2 members of the public. 3 The Department of Health and Human 4 Services deeply appreciates all of the many 5 hours that you have provided in leading your 6 expertise for the very important job of 7 ensuring the Dietary Guidelines for Americans 8 continue to reflect the preponderance of 9 current scientific and medical evidence 10 relating to nutrition and health. 11 We fully appreciate all of your 12 efforts, the efforts of the USDA staff, as 13 well as the HHS staff to improve the 14 nutritional health of Americans. 15 So, Dr. Post, I will turn it over 16 to you. 17 DR. POST: Thank you, Sarah, and 18 than you, Raj. 19 As one of the Center for Nutrition 20 Policy and Promotions, policy officials, I 21 certainly welcome the committee and look 22 forward to another productive meeting. NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 11 1 We are very excited to be 2 broadcasting this meeting live via the Web. 3 The third meeting was held this past April, 4 and it was the first to be held via Webinar. 5 And as evident from the WebEx 6 survey feedback, from those participants, this 7 new medium enables us to reach a more varied 8 and larger audience of interested parties. It 9 also provides for recording of the meeting to 10 be archived at, once again, 11 www.dietaryguidelines.gov, for current and 12 future reference by the public. 13 We have individuals or 14 participants that are registered from across 15 the nation, as well as internationally. We 16 are particularly happy knowing that. In fact, 17 we've got folks registered in Saudi Arabia, 18 Slovenia, Brazil, Iraq, Canada and Greece, to 19 name a few countries. 20 I would like to review a few 21 technical points for the public, and I guess 22 in a departure from the past, I'm not here to NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 12 1 tell you where the restrooms are. I can, 2 though, tell you that on your screen, for 3 those who have registered, you will see some 4 relevant information. 5 If you experience technical 6 difficulties, you may contact WebEx technical 7 support, toll free at 1-866-229-3239. This 8 information was also emailed to all 9 registrants, as was a technical assistance 10 number for our international participants. 11 The event staff here in the room 12 at the committee's meeting will be monitoring 13 an email line, so to speak, where public 14 participants can send notes of any technical 15 difficulties while the meeting proceeds. 16 Now, as you see on the screen, 17 this email address is tech_issue@yahoo.com. 18 Please note that the event staff will not 19 respond to these emails. It is simply one of 20 the several ways we are monitoring the 21 streaming efficiency of the meeting to the 22 public. NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 13 1 We value your feedback on this 2 Webinar meeting. After the meeting 3 registrants will receive a follow-up survey 4 from WebEx. And, as in the past, a transcript 5 and a written summary of this event will also 6 be posted to our website when available. 7 Because this meeting is being 8 streamed live to the public, I would like to 9 ask that the committee members clearly state 10 their name before speaking. This is 11 particularly important to facilitate clear 12 deliberations to the public who are following 13 the discussion. 14 And with that, I'd like to turn 15 back to Dr. Anand. 16 DR. ANAND: Thank you. I will 17 speak a little more now. I would like to turn 18 the meeting to the Chair of the Dietary 19 Guideline Committee, Dr. Linda Van Horn. 20 Linda, all yours. 21 CHAIR VAN HORN: Thank you, Dr. 22 Anand. And good afternoon to committee NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 14 1 members and the DGAC support staff, and good 2 afternoon to our public participants who are 3 watching via the Web today. 4 Since the third meeting of the 5 DGAC in late April, the committee and our 6 support staff have been working very hard to 7 complete many milestones, and I think that's 8 an understatement. 9 The committee has given much 10 thought to the various research questions that 11 could be asked to help inform dietary guidance 12 for the United States. In so doing, we have 13 developed and extensive list of research 14 questions to be answered. 15 The detail involved in the work 16 being completed is extraordinary, but 17 necessary, enlightening and also highly 18 relevant. It will provide the information 19 needed to develop a thorough, yet concise 20 advisory report. 21 The process we are using will 22 strengthen our advisory report, and in turn, NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 15 1 enhance the value of the report to inform the 2 Federal Government, as they develop the 2010 3 Dietary Guidelines for the American's policy. 4 The committee has seven 5 subcommittees, each with it's own topics 6 listed on the agenda. In addition to these 7 seven subcommittees, we have also the Science 8 Review Subcommittee whose task is to provide 9 oversight and guidance related to the 10 technical weighing of the evidence. 11 Among the subcommittees, a number 12 of families of research questions have been 13 developed that encompass roughly 180 14 subquestions that we'd like to address. We 15 have begun drawing proposed conclusions on the 16 evidence but, due to the volume of work, we 17 will not be presenting all of our conclusions 18 at this meeting. 19 Today and tomorrow we hope to 20 propose conclusions supported by the evidence, 21 and have discussion for a large number of our 22 research questions. This means that at the NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 16 1 fifth meeting, which will occur in quarter of 2 2010, the first quarter, we will plan to 3 propose our conclusions for all of the 4 remaining research questions and come to 5 general consensus on the science. 6 We originally had five meetings 7 planned for our public deliberations, however, 8 to accommodate the large volume of information 9 that needs to be discussed, we will be holding 10 a sixth and final public meeting in the spring 11 of 2010, where we will present and vote on our 12 advisory report. 13 To help meet our goals for this 14 meeting, our committee members have agreed to 15 keep their presentation succinct. I would 16 like to remind the public that our evidence 17 review will be summarized in our report, 18 however, the details of the evidence review 19 will also be available in an electronic 20 database called the USDA Nutrition Evidence 21 Library or NEL, as you will hear referred to 22 throughout our deliberations. NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 17 1 The NEL is a web-based system set 2 of tools to help support our scientific review 3 process. Having the nutrition evidence 4 library ensures that the details of our 5 scientific review are well-documented, 6 transparent and reproducible. 7 Our systematic process also 8 reduces reviewer bias and better standardizes 9 the approach used by the various 10 subcommittees. Most questions we will discuss 11 were answered using a NEL systematic review. 12 To help with the time, I would 13 like to preface an upcoming presentations with 14 some general criteria and information that 15 applies broadly to all our work. 16 The first step of the evidence 17 review process was to generate research 18 questions that led to the search and sort 19 plans to search the scientific literature. 20 In general, literature in our 21 review met the following inclusion and 22 exclusion criteria. Inclusion criteria NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 18 1 generally entailed studies with human subjects 2 that are of English language as well as 3 international. Sample sizes with a minimum of 4 ten subjects per study arm and a preference 5 for larger sizes if available. 6 Drop-out rates less than 20 7 percent with a preference for smaller drop-out 8 rates and populations of healthy individuals 9 and those with elevated chronic disease risk. 10 Most questions only considered 11 healthy or at-risk populations, but other 12 populations were included when it was 13 pertinent to the question. 14 Exclusion criteria generally 15 entailed studies of medical treatment or 16 therapy, disease subjects with -- such as 17 subjects already diagnosed with or a disease 18 related to the study's purpose, hospitalized 19 patients, malnourished or Third-World 20 populations or disease incidences that are not 21 relative to the United States population, such 22 as malaria, animal studies, in vitro studies, NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 19 1 and articles that are not peer reviewed. 2 Exceptions to this list and 3 additional criteria considered will be noted 4 by each subcommittee during their 5 presentation. In some cases the systematic 6 review of the literature went back to cover 7 literature on infants since potential 8 manifestation of disease in infancy can 9 continue on and across the lifespan. 10 The Dietary Guidelines themselves, 11 however, provide recommendations for ages two 12 and above. An evidence worksheet was 13 developed to organize the information for each 14 article included in our reviews. 15 These worksheets were developed by 16 trained evidence abstractors from throughout 17 the country. NEL staff then prepared draft 18 portfolios of evidence worksheets, summaries 19 of each article and overview tables for each 20 research question that we used to review the 21 evidence and draw our conclusions. 22 The committee is grading the body NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 20 1 of evidence supporting our conclusions using 2 an approach the group has agreed to. You can 3 see the criteria here which takes into account 4 the quality of the studies, consistency of the 5 findings, number of studies supporting the 6 evidence, magnitude of the effect or outcome, 7 and generalized ability. 8 Based on these criteria the 9 conclusion statement will be given a grade of 10 I, strong; II, moderate; III, limited; IV, 11 expert opinion; and V, grade not assignable. 12 In addition to NEL reviews, we 13 also use other sources of evidence when 14 appropriate. Thus, it is important to note 15 that only conclusion statements for which 16 there was a formal DGAC NEL review are graded. 17 After the release of our report, 18 all of the materials, including the 19 committee's evidence summaries, conclusion 20 statements, grades and so forth will be 21 accessible online to the public in addition to 22 our written advisory report to the NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 21 1 Secretaries. 2 For some questions it was decided 3 that a formal NEL review was not needed. For 4 example, when only a brief update is needed to 5 another substantial source of evidence such as 6 the 2005 Dietary Guideline Report, IOM reports 7 or other sources. 8 Examples of this approach that are 9 being presented today and tomorrow include 10 assessing, if there's a need for B12 11 fortification, and answering the question, 12 "What amount of fluid is recommended for 13 health?" 14 For some questions, we use food 15 pattern modeling. To understand the 16 implications of dietary guidance for 17 Americans, the total diet must be evaluated. 18 We do this by identifying amounts of different 19 foods that could be consumed to achieve 20 various nutrient intakes. 21 The modeling approach has been 22 developed by USDA's Center for Nutrition NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 22 1 Policy and Promotion and provides an 2 opportunity to answer our "what-if" type 3 questions. Modeling allows evaluation of the 4 amounts of nutrients that would be obtained 5 for consuming various combinations of food to 6 ensure adequate intake. 7 All modeling analyses are designed 8 to be isocaloric. That is, the changes are 9 made within fixed calorie levels and they also 10 evaluate how the proposed modifications impact 11 moderation goals for the diet. 12 For example, one question that was 13 evaluated through modeling is: What is the 14 impact on intake of folate and other nutrients 15 if all recommended grain amounts are selected 16 as whole grains, rather than half whole grains 17 and half enriched grains. 18 The draft report for this question 19 will be presented by the Nutrient Adequacy 20 Subcommittee today. 21 In addition to modeling, we also 22 have other types of data analyses such as NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 23 1 analyses of dietary intake data from the 2 National Health and Nutrition Examination 3 Surveys. 4 These data help us answer 5 important questions such as what are the major 6 food sources of sodium in the US diet. So, as 7 you can see, there are many sources of 8 evidence. Often they are used in combination 9 to answer a question. 10 We have also received about 750 11 public comments throughout the process 12 already, and each subcommittee is taking these 13 into consideration in the development of their 14 work. 15 The DGAC has the assistance of 16 staff that help to support this work. All of 17 us are extremely grateful for their assistance 18 and ongoing input. Each subcommittee has a 19 team that includes a lead staff person from 20 the Dietary Guidelines management team who 21 supports the Chair and the Members of their 22 subcommittee in overall project management. NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 24 1 There is a NEL project manager who 2 leads the NEL review for the subcommittee, and 3 also performs quality control measures to 4 ensure the integrity of the evidence-based 5 systems that stay intact. 6 There is a NEL research librarian 7 who conducts the many literature searches and 8 each team also has other staff support members 9 that contribute in a supportive role similar 10 to those I have just described. 11 Now that we have reviewed the 12 overall systematic approach being used, we are 13 ready to begin hearing some results. Each 14 subcommittee will present their research 15 questions, propose conclusion statements and 16 then briefly describe the evidence supporting 17 those conclusions. 18 The proposed conclusions will be 19 presented first, but I'd like to remind the 20 public that the subcommittees began with open21 ended questions and conducted extensive 22 surveys of the scientific literature and NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 25 1 graded the evidence before drafting these 2 conclusions. 3 When appropriate, the 4 recommendations from other national 5 organizations will also be summarized. When 6 there are inadequate data to draw fully the 7 evidence-based conclusions, the DGAC has 8 listed recommended research needed to address 9 these issues. 10 I'd also like to remind everyone 11 that on everything being presented today and 12 tomorrow, it's in a draft form. 13 Although, as a committee, we need 14 to come to agreement on many conclusions, as 15 many as possible for some topics, especially 16 those for which there are still puzzle pieces 17 missing or collaborative work between 18 subcommittees planned, additional discussion 19 will be needed after this committee meeting 20 and before a consensus can be formally reached 21 at a later meeting. 22 Lastly, each committee member NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 26 1 should please remember to announce themselves 2 when speaking to help the public follow along. 3 With that, I would like to begin 4 our first subcommittee, and we are ready to 5 proceed with the Nutrient Adequacy 6 Subcommittee, chaired by Shelly Nickols- 7 Richardson. 8 With that, I'll turn it over to 9 you, Shelly. 10 MEMBER NICKOLS-RICHARDSON: Thank 11 you, Linda. And -- Okay. I just want to 12 start off by recognizing the members of the 13 Nutrient Adequacy Subcommittee. They are 14 listed here on your slide, recognizing the 15 work of Naomi and Cheryl and Joanne and Mim in 16 this committee. 17 I also want to recognize Trish 18 Britten, our liaison at USDA, as well as 19 Rachel Hayes and Eve Essery at the DHHS. They 20 have been extremely instrumental in helping us 21 complete our work, particularly the modeling 22 analyses that we present today. NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 27 1 So, our subcommittee today will 2 present information about nutrients of 3 concern, folic acid fortification, B12 4 fortification/supplementation and then move 5 into some food pattern modeling, including the 6 realignment of vegetable subgroups, adequacy 7 of USDA food patterns and then USDA patterns 8 with typical food choices. 9 And I'll ask that questions be 10 held to the end so that we can move through 11 our information and our proposed conclusions 12 prior to taking those questions. 13 So, the first question that the 14 subcommittee has been working with is looking 15 at nutrients of concern and when considering 16 nutrients of concern, two basic principles 17 were used to frame this question, and the 18 review of data, as well as guide the 19 decisionmaking process. 20 The first is that nutrients should 21 come primarily from foods and so population22 based dietary intake data were examined to NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 28 1 identify gaps in nutrients, as contained in 2 the usual intakes of individuals residing in 3 the United States. 4 The second premise is that the 5 Dietary Guidelines for Americans provide 6 guidance regarding means to achieve the most 7 recent Dietary Reference Intakes so that 8 nutrient needs by age and sex groups are 9 achieved. 10 So, our first question here is 11 "What nutrients are most likely to be consumed 12 by the general public in amounts low enough 13 and are of public health significance to be of 14 concern?" 15 The process by which nutrients of 16 concern were evaluated included first, the 17 short-fall nutrients were identified. Short18 fall nutrients are those nutrients for which a 19 group or groups has or have a high prevalence 20 of inadequate dietary intake based on food 21 consumption data. 22 Second, biochemical indices, when NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 29 1 available and/or disease prevalence data were 2 evaluated for short-fall nutrients to consider 3 the public health significance of all or any 4 short-fall nutrients. 5 And third, the likelihood of a 6 short-fall nutrient being met by achieving 7 food intake guidelines was also considered. 8 So, to identify short-fall 9 nutrients, usual intake data from several 10 sources were examined. The 2005, What We Eat 11 in America Report included 24 nutrients from 12 NHANES 2001 through 2002 data. 13 The 2008 Food and Nutrition 14 Service reports on the diet quality of 15 Americans by Food Stamp participation status, 16 the diet quality of American young children by 17 WIC participation status, and the diet quality 18 of American school-aged children by school 19 lunch participation status included 18 20 nutrients from NHANES 1999 through 2004 data. 21 The 2009 What We Eat in America 22 Report for 25 nutrients from NHANES 2005/2006, NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 30 1 for one-day intakes, and then the 2009 What We 2 Eat in America Report for usual intake of four 3 nutrients, including vitamin D, calcium, 4 phosphorus and magnesium from 2005/2006 data 5 were also evaluated. 6 The 2008 Centers for Disease 7 Control and Prevention Report titled National 8 Report on Biochemical Indicators of Diet and 9 Nutrition in the US Population, 1999 through 10 2002, was used to evaluate blood or urine 11 concentrations of relevant biochemical 12 indicators of diet and nutrition. 13 Specimens were from the NHANES 14 1999 through 2002 survey, and then additional 15 peer reviewed studies were used to supplement 16 this report for nutrients not included in the 17 report, and disease prevalence data were 18 considered for nutrients without biochemical 19 indicators to reflect nutritional status. 20 The likelihood of achieving the 21 DRI for nutrient was also considered. Food 22 intake patterns using the 2005 USDA Dietary NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 31 1 Guidelines for Americans within set caloric 2 levels were modeled and the ability to consume 3 nutrients in adequate amounts were examined 4 using nutrient-dense food choices from food 5 item clusters for food groups. 6 A review of the dietary intake 7 evidence indicates that short-fall nutrients 8 for adults and children include vitamins A, C, 9 D and E, and calcium, magnesium, potassium and 10 dietary fiber. 11 For adults, short-fall nutrients 12 also include vitamin K and choline and for 13 children, phosphorus is a short-fall nutrient 14 among adolescent females. 15 A review of biochemical evidence 16 indicates that less than five percent of the 17 US population has low serum concentrations of 18 retinol and alpha tocopherol, and the CDC has 19 also reported from 2003 to 2004 NHANES data, a 20 very low prevalence of poor serum vitamin C 21 concentration in the US. 22 And Booth and Al Rajabe in 2008, NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 32 1 reported that vitamin K deficiency is very 2 rare in the United States. 3 One report also indicated that 4 more than 55 percent of individuals residing 5 in lower latitudes in the United States had 6 serum 25 hydroxy vitamin D concentration less 7 than 25 nanograms per ml or 63.5 nanamoles per 8 liter during the wintertime. 9 And I'll just note here that this 10 particular information is pointed out 11 specifically for lower latitudes because these 12 individuals do have more year-round exposure 13 to sunlight compared to those living in the 14 higher latitudes. 15 The IOM defines serum 25 OHD 16 concentration of less than 12 nanograms per ml 17 or approximately 30 nanamoles per ml for 18 adults and less than 11 nanograms per ml, or 19 27.5 nanamoles per liter, excuse me, for 20 infants and young children. 21 So, using the IOM cutoff values, 22 only about ten percent of non-Hispanic whites NEAL R. 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(202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 33 1 over the age of 60 years have a 25 OHD 2 concentration of less than 11 nanograms per 3 ml, with a proportion of older adults having 4 vitamin D deficiency increasing as the cutoff 5 values increase. 6 And so, minor changes in that 7 cutoff point do increase somewhat 8 significantly the number of individuals with 9 lower or inadequate vitamin D concentrations, 10 25 OHD concentration. 11 These cut points will be reviewed 12 when we review vitamin D more thoroughly and 13 potentially present that at the next meeting. 14 Data from NHANES 2005-2006 15 indicated that ten percent of women and two 16 percent of men over age 50 years had 17 osteoporosis of the femoral neck and many more 18 older women and men have osteopenia. 19 Nearly 100 million men and women 20 have prehypertension and hypertension, and 21 it's also known that increased potassium 22 consumption in foods can lower systolic and NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 34 1 diastolic blood pressure in individuals with 2 normal and elevated blood pressure. 3 Dietary fiber is considered in 4 light of risk reduction of coronary heart 5 disease, which is the leading cause of death 6 in the US. 7 And food pattern modeling 8 indicates that DRI's for vitamins A, C, and K 9 can be easily achieved by meeting 10 recommendations for fruit and vegetable 11 intakes, although vitamin E is less readily 12 consumed in the typical diets of individuals 13 in the US, biochemical data and disease 14 prevalence data do not suggest that vitamin E 15 nutriture is problematic for Americans. 16 Choline and phosphorus represent 17 nutrients that may be possible -- of possible 18 concern for some subgroups of individuals in 19 the US and these nutrients are addressed in a 20 separate question by the Nutrient Adequacy 21 Subcommittee looking at particular nutrients 22 of concern for subgroups of individuals. NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 35 1 So, after evaluating dietary 2 intakes of Americans, biochemical data, 3 disease prevalence and potential ability to 4 meet nutrient recommendations by consumption 5 of a variety of foods, the nutrients of 6 concern for children and adults include 7 vitamin D and calcium, magnesium, potassium 8 and dietary fiber. 9 Evidence for magnesium is still 10 under review, and for certain subgroups, 11 vitamins B12, folate, choline, iron and 12 phosphorus require attention. Potassium will 13 be and is thoroughly addressed in the sodium, 14 potassium and water group. I believe that's 15 in future discussions, and not presented 16 today. 17 And then dietary fiber will be 18 addressed in upcoming meetings and discussions 19 in the carbohydrate and protein group. 20 Questions related to folate and 21 vitamin B12 will be presented today and to 22 start with folic acid fortification, I'll turn NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 36 1 it over to Mim to discuss fortification and 2 questions related to folic acid. 3 MEMBER NELSON: Hi. This is Mim 4 Nelson. Are we going to -- we aren't going to 5 do questions within each piece, as we go, or 6 are we going to wait till the very end? Okay. 7 Okay. That's fine. 8 So, I am presenting on a series of 9 questions related to folic acid fortification. 10 So, what is the relationship between folic 11 acid intake in the US post fortification era 12 related to serum, plasma and red blood cell 13 folate status, neural tube defects, CVD and 14 stroke. 15 I should say CHD and stroke, colon 16 cancer and folic acid supplementation, risk of 17 CHD and folic acid supplementation risk of 18 stroke. 19 You will recall that in mandatory 20 compliance in the United States for folic acid 21 fortification began in January 1998, with 22 voluntary starting in '96, and in Canada, full NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 37 1 compliance was by 1998. All of this as a 2 result of an FDA authorization -- or rather 3 the United States Public Health Service 4 recommendation that all women of childbearing 5 age should be consuming 400 micrograms of 6 folic acid daily to reduce the risk of neural 7 tube defects. 8 So, we had our basic inclusion 9 criteria with the NEL was research published 10 between 1999 and February 2009. January 2004, 11 and February of 2009, regarding colon cancer, 12 looking at healthy human subjects for the most 13 part and some that have elevated chronic 14 disease risk, peer-reviewed in the English 15 language. 16 So, one of the first questions 17 that we wanted to look at was "Has there been 18 an increase in folic acid in serum plasma and 19 red blood cells as a result of the 20 fortification?" and our draft conclusion with 21 the Grade I evidence is that there's clear and 22 consistent evidence that serum plasma and red NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 38 1 blood cell folic concentrations increased in 2 the United States and Canada following 3 mandatory folate fortification. 4 This is from eleven different 5 cross-sectional studies, eight in the United 6 States, three in Canada, five, which were 7 nationally represented in the United States 8 using NHANES data, and one with high-risk 9 Mexican-American population that was on the 10 border between Mexico and America. 11 And serum folate more than doubled 12 between pre and postfortification periods. 13 Red blood cell folate increased approximately 14 57 percent. There still is a very small group 15 of women of childbearing years that do have -- 16 or are still at risk for low folate 17 concentrations. 18 The second question, "What impact 19 has mandatory folic acid fortification had on 20 the incidence of neural tube defects?" The 21 proposed conclusion with the Grade I evidence 22 is that there is clear and consistent evidence NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 39 1 that the incidence of children born with 2 neural tube defects has been reduced following 3 mandatory folic acid grain fortification in 4 the United States and Canada. 5 This is from 13 different studies, 6 three cohort, one longitudinal, one CDC 7 report, one cross-sectional and seven trend 8 studies. Of the nationally-represented 9 studies in the United States, it showed that 10 there was about a 23 to 54 percent reduction 11 in spina bifida incidence and about 11 to 16 12 percent reduction in anencephaly incidents. 13 One Canadian national study 14 reported a similar 53 percent reduction in 15 spina bifida and a 31 percent reduction in 16 anencephaly incidents. 17 So, moving along, "What impact has 18 mandatory folic acid fortification had on the 19 incidence of stroke?" The proposed conclusion 20 with a Grade of III is that there is limited 21 evidence. 22 This is mostly because there's not NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 40 1 much evidence, but there is some that stroke 2 mortality has declined in the US and Canada 3 following folic acid fortification policy. 4 There is one population-based 5 cohort study that was conducted in the United 6 States and Canada, and with controls against 7 England and Wales, ongoing decline in stroke 8 mortality in the US and Canada between 9 comparing 1990 to 1997 to 1998 to 2002 showed 10 an increasing reduction going from minus 3.3 11 percent to minus 2.9 percent per year in the 12 US and going from one percent per year, minus 13 1 percent to minus 5.4 percent per year in 14 Canada, whereas the stroke mortality in 15 England and Wales did not change significantly 16 between 1990 and 2002. So, a small but 17 significant difference. 18 So, "What impact has mandatory 19 folic acid fortification had on the incidence 20 of colon cancer? We gave this a Grade of III, 21 that there's limited evidence that mandatory 22 folic acid fortification has resulted in a NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 41 1 transient increase in the incidence of colon 2 cancer in the US and Canada. 3 This comes from two studies, one 4 that was done in the United States and Canada, 5 and one that was done in Chile. Absolute 6 rates of colorectal cancer began to increase 7 in 1996. 8 This is when voluntary 9 fortification began, or 1997 in Canada and 10 peaked in 1998 or 2000 in Canada, and it 11 represents a signification transient deviation 12 from prior folate fortification in the US by 13 about four to six additional cases per hundred 14 thousand individuals. 15 There is some evidence that the 16 rate of incidence is back to where it was 17 before, and that this is a -- the reason for 18 the transient is that there was a shift for 19 several years during the time, and if we need 20 to, I can get into some of the biological 21 plausibility, but I'd rather not, because we 22 did that before in an earlier meeting. NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 42 1 Rates -- an interesting study that 2 was done in Chile looked at the rates of 3 hospital discharge due to colorectal cancer in 4 Chile before their fortification, which was 5 looking between 1992 and '96, and after 2001 6 to 2004, after their mandatory folic acid 7 fortification, and they saw an increase by a 8 rate ratio of 2.6 in adults age 45 to 64, and 9 2.9 in adults age 65 to 70. 10 So, further evidence in another 11 country that went through folate fortification 12 of this bump up in colorectal cancer. 13 So next, we wanted to look at -- 14 to sort of complete the full question, looking 15 at folic acid supplementation, so, "What 16 effect does folic acid supplementation with or 17 without additional B vitamin supplementation 18 have on risk of stroke and those with or 19 without existing -- preexisting vascular 20 disease. 21 We give this a Grade III, that 22 there's inconsistent evidence that NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 43 1 supplementation with folic acid reduces risk 2 of stroke in adults. This comes from two 3 meta-analyses, one that 12 RCT's in the US, 4 Canada in Europe and another that had eight 5 RCT's from US, Canada, China, Australia, New 6 Zealand and Europe. 7 In the first there was an overall 8 relative risk for patients treated with folic 9 acid supplementation compared to controls, was 10 nonsignificant. For cardiovascular diseases, 11 CHD, stroke and all-cause mortality -- and 12 I'll get to CHD further in the next question. 13 And in the other trial, folic acid 14 supplementation, in that meta-analysis did 15 significantly reduce risk of stroke by about 16 18 percent, but should be noted that the 17 relative risk for those trials that were in 18 regions with fortified grain was 19 nonsignificant. 20 The final question was, "What 21 effect does folic acid supplementation, again, 22 with or without additional B vitamin NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 44 1 supplementation, have on the risk of CHD, in 2 those with or without preexisting vascular 3 disease?" 4 And we give this a Grade I, that 5 folic acid supplementation does not appear to 6 reduce risk of CHD, particularly in countries 7 with folic acid fortification. 8 This comes from two large 9 randomized control trials, and one meta10 analysis that -- that also -- that contained 11 12 RCT's. 12 One of the randomized trials was 13 done in Norway. There was no effect of folic 14 acid, B12 or B6, total mortality or 15 cardiovascular events. This is in people with 16 preexisting disease. 17 The other was also looking at 18 folic acid, B12 and B6, and also did not 19 reduce cardiovascular events. That trial also 20 was in people with preexisting disease. 21 And then the meta-analysis, folic 22 acid supplementation did not reduce risk of NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 45 1 cardiovascular disease or all-cause mortality 2 in persons with prior history of disease. 3 So, Eve, do you have -- is there - 4 - I see you're wandering around in there. 5 MS. ESSERY: I am going to pass it 6 along. 7 MEMBER NELSON: Oh, okay. Okay. 8 Sorry. 9 So, in summary, the overarching 10 question which we will summarize this into 11 really one answer, but the overarching 12 question really is, "What is the relationship 13 between folic acid intake in the US and Canada 14 postfortification era and health outcomes?" 15 And the overarching is that there 16 is a substantial reduction in neural tube 17 defects. There may be a very small decrease, 18 but significant decrease in stroke. There may 19 also be -- and it may have been transient -- 20 we'll have to see with further data as we get 21 further along after these dietary guidelines 22 are out, but that there may be a transient NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 46 1 increase in colon cancer. 2 So, it's mixed, but I would say 3 the overall -- the overarching is that the 4 benefit of the neural tube defects is very 5 much there. 6 MEMBER FUKAGAWA: This is Naomi 7 Fukagawa who will now address the question -- 8 another overarching question, namely -- why am 9 I not going forward? Ah. Here we go. -- 10 about special nutrient recommendations needed 11 for certain subgroups. 12 And this is somewhat of a 13 different nutrient, in that we did not conduct 14 a full NEL review of the literature for this 15 specific nutrient. 16 As many of you know, the 2005 17 Dietary Guidelines for Americans did address 18 the concern about groups at risk for 19 pernicious anemia or neurological deficits 20 related to vitamin B12 deficiency, and these 21 were largely pregnant women and those who are 22 over the age of 50. NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 47 1 Instead of a full NEL review, we 2 chose to update the literature review since 3 2005, since there weren't significant new 4 randomized control trials done on these 5 particular nutrients, and we also included a 6 review of the NHANES intake data for 2005 to 7 2006 in order to draft a conclusion. 8 So, my presentation this morning 9 is -- or this afternoon, will actually be a 10 little bit different from what Mim has just 11 done, in that I'll present the evidence before 12 proposed conclusion. 13 So, on this next slide, we can see 14 that, based on the NHANES 2005 to 2006 data, 15 the mean daily vitamin B12 intake from foods 16 was above the recommended dietary allowance, 17 which is approximately 2.4 micrograms per day, 18 for all ages and all gender groups. 19 And furthermore, vitamin B12 20 deficiency, which was found in -- was found in 21 less than three percent of the population 22 based on serum B12 concentrations, but this NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 48 1 was also in combination with serum 2 homocysteine concentrations greater than 10 3 micromoles per liter. 4 We did find in this particular 5 report that the supplement, the use of 6 supplements or fortification for B12 did 7 reduce this prevalence to less than .5 percent 8 in the older at-risk population. 9 So therefore, our proposed 10 conclusion is that individuals over the age of 11 50 appear to be meeting their RDA for vitamin 12 B12 and should continue to do so by eating 13 foods naturally rich in vitamin B12 and 14 consume fortified foods with -- foods that are 15 fortified with vitamin B12 or by taking the 16 crystalline form of vitamin B12. Thank you. 17 CHAIR VAN HORN: Before we move 18 into the food modeling discussion, I think 19 perhaps it would be valuable for the committee 20 to discuss a little bit of what was presented 21 so far in terms of the nutrient issues. 22 So, Shelly, if you want to maybe NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 49 1 kick off the discussion, that would be great. 2 MEMBER NICKOLS-RICHARDSON: Well, 3 I'll open it for questions or comments. 4 MEMBER CLEMENS: This is Rog. 5 Thank you very much, Naomi, for that insight 6 on vitamin B12 status, in particular. I can 7 remember a number of years ago we're looking 8 at the elderly population and I found that in 9 that particular case we see that a number of 10 those individuals have challenges with the 11 intrinsic factor. 12 Do we have any data that these 13 individuals are able to maintain an adequate 14 status other than what you indicate here in 15 terms of absorption, other than what you 16 indicated on serum status? 17 MEMBER FUKAGAWA: That's more of a 18 problem. This is Naomi Fukagawa. More of a 19 problem with the naturally-occurring vitamin 20 B12. But if one -- the absorption of the 21 crystalline vitamin B12 is really quite good 22 in the elderly individuals. NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 50 1 And so therefore, if one looks at 2 adequacy and intake, at least across the age 3 groups, they certainly are receiving 4 sufficient -- or it appears that they are 5 receiving sufficient B12. 6 MEMBER RIMM: This is Eric Rimm. 7 I just wanted to add onto that comment, 8 because I know I've seen some, I believe, 9 preliminary data, or if not published data, 10 probably published data by now, from the 11 Premium Heart Study, suggesting that measuring 12 serum B12 and homocysteine doesn't actually 13 capture deficiency, that looking at 14 methylmalonic acid, which really is a marker 15 of vitamin B12 activity, you capture much more 16 of the deficiency state, and there actually 17 was cognitive function associated with 18 methylmalonic acid. 19 So, I wonder if there's -- maybe 20 this data set doesn't have that, and I wonder 21 if there's a way to try to incorporate that, 22 because I do worry that this may be an NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 51 1 underestimate of the population that's getting 2 sufficient amounts of B12 that's actively 3 incorporated. 4 MEMBER FUKAGAWA: This is Naomi 5 again. At least in the data and the studies 6 that I've reviewed, there wasn't an 7 association, even looking at methylmalonic 8 acid concentrations with change -- functional 9 changes such as cognitive decline and so 10 forth, but that's a point well-taken, yes. 11 MEMBER APPEL: Larry Appel. I 12 have a question for Mim about the folic acid 13 supplementation. The -- it looks like for 14 coronary heart disease you gave Grade I. 15 There's no relationship, and yet for stroke, 16 it seems like you're -- you might be trying to 17 leave the door open, and I was wondering 18 whether, you know, the conclusion should be no 19 apparent benefit as opposed to inconsistent 20 evidence that it reduced. 21 It looks like one of the -- the 22 bigger of the two meta-analyses -- and granted NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 52 1 I don't have it in front of me, showed no 2 relationship. So -- 3 MEMBER NELSON: Yes. This is Mim 4 Nelson. Inconsistent. I'm -- I'm a little 5 nervous about sort of providing much strength 6 to either of those in terms of -- so you're 7 talking about with the stroke one in 8 particular? 9 MEMBER APPEL: Well, actually, I 10 think we might be on the same wavelength here. 11 MEMBER NELSON: Yes. 12 MEMBER APPEL: Your conclusion, 13 proposed conclusion for CHD was -- does not 14 appear to reduce -- 15 MEMBER NELSON: That's right. 16 MEMBER APPEL: -- say, risk Grade 17 I, okay, so it's basically you don't see a 18 relationship, good evidence, and yet for 19 stroke you say inconsistent evidence of -- of 20 a relationship -- 21 MEMBER NELSON: Because -- 22 MEMBER APPEL: -- with Grade III. NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 53 1 MEMBER NELSON: Because one of the 2 meta-analyses did show an improvement and the 3 other didn't, but I think that the key with 4 that was that in the folate-fortified 5 countries, there was no reduction. 6 So, it's inconsistent. Do you 7 think it should be a different grade? 8 MEMBER APPEL: Well, it's two 9 points. I was wondering whether it should be 10 there is no apparent relationship, which is 11 probably -- 12 MEMBER NELSON: So, what do I do 13 with the other meta-analysis, then? 14 MEMBER APPEL: Well, I'm not -- is 15 the one with the 12 RCT's -- I know it has 16 more numbers, but is it a -- you know, meta17 analyses get updated, and so -- 18 MEMBER NELSON: Right. 19 MEMBER APPEL: -- the general is 20 you accumulate more evidence, you believe the 21 last one rather than using the first one to 22 keep a hypothesis alive that might not be NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 54 1 worthy of being alive. 2 MEMBER NELSON: Yes, I'm just 3 looking. 4 MEMBER APPEL: Part of the reason 5 I say this is -- 6 MEMBER NELSON: Yes. 7 MEMBER APPEL: -- somebody's going 8 to look at this and say, yes, it's a 9 reasonable hypothesis, we need to do another-- 10 MEMBER NELSON: Yes -- 11 MEMBER APPEL: -- study. 12 MEMBER NELSON: I don't think -- 13 one of my researcher -- I'm not sure that we 14 need any more research here. 15 MEMBER APPEL: Yes. 16 MEMBER NELSON: I think I'd be -- 17 I don't know, Eric, you had just reviewed 18 this, you said also. So, can we go back, can 19 I just go back? 20 MEMBER APPEL: This is the kind of 21 -- MEMBER NELSON: Yes. 22 MEMBER APPEL: -- maybe it's worth NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 55 1 either a committee coming back and -- 2 MEMBER NELSON: Yes, and taking a 3 look. 4 MEMBER APPEL: Because you have 5 two frames -- 6 MEMBER NELSON: So, it's with this 7 one -- it's this one, because there's 8 inconsistent evidence. 9 MEMBER APPEL: And you said that a 10 Grade III, but your larger meta-analysis 11 would, I think, support a Grade I, no 12 relationship. 13 MEMBER NELSON: That's right. 14 MEMBER APPEL: You know, and I 15 don't know if -- 16 MEMBER NELSON: Or at least a 17 Grade II, yes. 18 MEMBER APPEL: Or whatever, yes. 19 MEMBER NELSON: Yes, okay. 20 MEMBER APPEL: And then the CHD 21 one is -- 22 MEMBER NELSON: Pretty strong. NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 56 1 MEMBER APPEL: It's stronger in 2 the Grade I. So, I'm just trying to look for 3 parallels here. 4 MEMBER NELSON: More, because 5 they're -- yes, okay. Yes. Let me go back 6 and look at this, but I'm inclined at least to 7 go with a Grade II on this instead of Grade 8 III, because I agree. 9 MEMBER APPEL: Yes. 10 MEMBER NELSON: The trickier part 11 is the one is actually with the folate 12 fortification, in seeing this small -- both in 13 Canada and the United States, and is there 14 anything else going on that may have caused 15 that -- I don't think so. I think it's the 16 folate. 17 Or, what do you think, because 18 this right here, this is -- this is, again, 19 it's just one -- it's one population-based 20 cohort study with stroke. And this is just -- 21 MEMBER APPEL: Yes. 22 MEMBER NELSON: -- similar to the NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 57 1 neural tube defects. I mean, it's a similar 2 design. It's basically looking at the decline 3 -- stroke mortality has been going down, so 4 it's looking at the percent reduction. 5 MEMBER APPEL: Yes. 6 MEMBER NELSON: It's very small. 7 MEMBER APPEL: Yes. I mean, I 8 think you, in order to make a strong 9 statement, you need to know what's happening 10 with blood pressure levels and control rates-- 11 MEMBER NELSON: There's so many 12 other things going on. 13 MEMBER APPEL: -- such as -- I 14 mean, blood pressure is probably the strongest 15 determinative of stroke that we know. 16 MEMBER NELSON: That's right. 17 MEMBER APPEL: So, if you're not 18 out -- 19 MEMBER NELSON: So that's why -- I 20 mean, it's only -- we'll never have another 21 study because this is the data and it's only 22 one time only, but I give it -- do you think NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 58 1 this is fair? 2 I mean, given this is the one, you 3 know, it was US and Canada versus England and 4 Wales. 5 MEMBER RIMM: Larry, what are you 6 saying? Are you saying we should -- I mean, 7 the conclusion is that there may be some 8 benefit for folate and stroke, and you want to 9 make that a stronger grade? 10 MEMBER APPEL: No, no. No. 11 MEMBER NELSON: No. 12 MEMBER APPEL: I mean, I was -- 13 MEMBER NELSON: I brought up this 14 -- 15 MEMBER APPEL: -- brought up the 16 issue, and I was explaining that it's hard to 17 -- 18 MEMBER NELSON: It is very hard. 19 MEMBER RIMM: I mean, the 20 challenge is that a lot of these studies are 21 among people -- this is Eric Rimm, sorry. A 22 lot of these studies are among people with NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 59 1 preexisting disease, so the question really 2 is, for primary prevention, it's more 3 challenging because most of the trials for 4 stroke also are among people with preexisting 5 disease. 6 MEMBER NELSON: No, but this is -- 7 no, this is not the trial. 8 MEMBER APPEL: This just looks 9 like vital statistics -- 10 MEMBER RIMM: Oh, sorry. Yes, 11 this aspect of it, yes. 12 MEMBER NELSON: This aspect. 13 MEMBER APPEL: So it can be very 14 hard. This is ecologic data, I believe. 15 MEMBER RIMM: Yes. Okay. I mean, 16 I think there are a few prospective studies 17 from a long time ago also that would suggest 18 that there's benefit of folate in stroke that 19 are observational, that are not just 20 ecological -- 21 MEMBER NELSON: But this is -- 22 MEMBER RIMM: -- that's not NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 60 1 fortification. 2 MEMBER NELSON: This is about 3 fortification. 4 MEMBER APPEL: Right. 5 MEMBER NELSON: This is 6 prefortification and post. I mean, I -- I -- 7 so, Larry, you're saying -- and Tom, I'm 8 looking at you, too, you're okay with this as 9 a Grade III, and it's limited evidence and we 10 leave it because we'll never know, is 11 basically it? 12 MEMBER RIMM: No, we may know. 13 There's a lot of countries that have fortified 14 with folate. 15 MEMBER NELSON: Right. 16 MEMBER RIMM: There may be 30 or 17 40 studies that can be done like this. 18 MEMBER NELSON: Come up. 19 MEMBER RIMM: Yes, that come up 20 where there's a -- you know, change in stroke 21 rates over time. 22 MEMBER NELSON: Okay. NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 61 1 MEMBER APPEL: Yes, the -- it just 2 will have to have better data because, you 3 know, also there are big pushes now to achieve 4 better blood pressure control in a lot of 5 different countries. 6 MEMBER NELSON: Right. There's so 7 many. And that's the same issue, I think, 8 with these -- sorry, with the questions about 9 folate supplementation. It's the same issue. 10 These people with preexisting 11 disease, most of them are on statins or blood 12 pressure medication. There's so many other 13 things that are going on that it's 14 problematic. 15 But, Larry, we'll revisit this one 16 on stroke and probably upgrade it to II. 17 Yes, Tom. 18 MEMBER PEARSON: This is Tom 19 Pearson. You know, I think the 1990 to 1997 20 actually was in somewhat of an odd sequence of 21 years ago, to stroke incidents, which it 22 actually had been going down, flattened off NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 62 1 for about seven years, and then proceeded to 2 go down again, so that the decline in stroke 3 on fortification looks like pre4 prefortification levels. 5 And I think it's just entirely 6 ecologic, and probably the declines had to do 7 more with an awareness that the stroke rates 8 weren't going down and blood pressure control 9 -- 10 MEMBER NELSON: Yes. 11 MEMBER PEARSON: -- had kicked in 12 at that point. I think the other thing is 13 that you have ecologic data that's influencing 14 your Grade III, and you have randomized 15 control trial data that usually, in the course 16 of things, you go with a high-risk group, you 17 do your randomized trials and then put all the 18 evidence together, but it's the randomized 19 trial data that I think really is the most 20 direct here. 21 MEMBER NELSON: It is. 22 MEMBER PEARSON: So, I think the-- NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 63 1 I think the Grade III for this particular 2 conclusion is adequate, because it's -- 3 ecologic data has many, many other 4 explanations. 5 MEMBER NELSON: Right. For this 6 one. For the fortification one, but we may, 7 for the actual supplementation one, upgrade 8 this to a II, this one. There's two different 9 ones around the stroke. Does that make sense? 10 Okay. Okay. Thank you. 11 MEMBER PEREZ-ESCAMILLA: Can I -- 12 MEMBER NELSON: Yes. Sorry. 13 MEMBER PEREZ-ESCAMILLA: I have a 14 follow-up question on folic acid 15 fortification, and -- this is Rafael. -- and 16 what you are calling a transient increase in a 17 colon cancer, and my understanding, based on 18 the biological plausibility that you shared 19 with that committee before, that these may be 20 related to people that have precancerous 21 lesions to begin with. 22 MEMBER NELSON: Yes. NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 64 1 MEMBER PEREZ-ESCAMILLA: But my 2 question is why it would be transient and not 3 continue. 4 MEMBER NELSON: Well, the folate 5 hypothesis here with cancer is that it may be 6 -- it may be actually protective, 7 chemoprotective in terms of if somebody does 8 not already have cancer, it may reduce their 9 risk. 10 But, if they actually have 11 precancerous polyps, then the replication of 12 the cancerous cells may be up-regulated with 13 the folate, and so that may speed up the 14 incidents of full-blown cancer, colorectal 15 cancer. 16 So, it could be -- if you don't 17 already have polyps, it's protective. If you 18 do have them, it may speed it up. So, there 19 is this sort of a hypothesis that, you know, 20 maybe over time colon cancer rates may go 21 down, but we popped up that group that -- no 22 pun intended, but already had polyps, so to NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 65 1 speak. 2 So, I guess that's the best way I 3 can simply sort of describe this. 4 MEMBER PEARSON: I have a couple 5 of questions. This is Tom Pearson again on -- 6 for Mim on the folic acid fortification. One 7 of the charges was to look at cardiovascular 8 disease and fortification. 9 MEMBER NELSON: Oh, yes. 10 MEMBER PEARSON: I would like to 11 expand that to congenital coronary -- 12 congenital heart disease -- 13 MEMBER NELSON: Okay. 14 MEMBER PEARSON: -- because I know 15 that your search was focused on neural tube 16 defects, but I thought there was some evidence 17 that might influence on a quantitative basis 18 your recommendations coming from the 19 congenital heart disease data, I think in the 20 Canadian study, particularly about the 21 conotruncal abnormalities, ventricular septal 22 defects and a single ventricle disorder. NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 66 1 MEMBER NELSON: Yes. 2 MEMBER PEARSON: So, I was -- I 3 was wondering if, because relative to where 4 the neural tube defect activity is going, it 5 should also affect the closure of the 6 structures of the heart on an embryologic 7 basis. 8 MEMBER NELSON: Yes. 9 MEMBER PEARSON: So, I think -- 10 MEMBER NELSON: I think that will 11 -- 12 MEMBER PEARSON: -- will influence 13 some of your decisions about the, say, the 14 quantity of the fortification, which is my 15 second question, is is it -- I would agree 16 with your conclusions that the fortification 17 has been a success. 18 The question is, there seems to be 19 a lingering discussion of should we go 20 further, so it becomes not a qualitative one, 21 whether or not this has been good, but a 22 quantitative one about should the NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 67 1 fortification be even more. Would you comment 2 on that. 3 MEMBER NELSON: Boy, I'm hesitant 4 to really answer that question because I don't 5 think that we, as a committee, might be the 6 right committee to answer that. 7 One of the things that we know 8 happened with the -- right at the mandatory 9 folate fortification time is that, in fact, it 10 was probably double to triple or somewhere -- 11 it was very high levels of fortification, 12 because the manufacturers were worried they 13 were going to not meet the targets. 14 And then, in fact, if you look at 15 serial blood, there are a couple of these -- 16 when looking at the blood levels, there are a 17 couple of studies that actually looked at just 18 before, just during the first couple of years, 19 and then after, you see an increase and then 20 you actually see a coming down. So the 21 highest levels were within those two years. 22 I'm hesitant to answer that NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 68 1 question, whether there should be more. My 2 bias reading this would be at the moment, I'm 3 always worried about the risk/benefit ratio, 4 and I would say probably not. 5 But one of the things I should 6 say, one question that we attempted to answer 7 was actually -- which I don't have here, was 8 the impact of folate fortification on coronary 9 heart disease, and there were no -- there were 10 no data. So, we didn't answer it. 11 But, I will take a look at what 12 you're talking about before. 13 MEMBER FUKAGAWA: Mim, I'd like to 14 make a comment addressing Tom's concern about 15 congenital heart disease. 16 MEMBER NELSON: Yes. 17 MEMBER FUKAGAWA: But one of the 18 other considerations we have to think about 19 are the epigenetic changes that might be 20 induced by higher methyl group intake in the 21 form of folate. 22 And I think that's a question NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 69 1 that's not yet answered. It certainly has 2 been investigated in animal studies, and would 3 be a consideration. 4 MEMBER NELSON: Yes. But, I don't 5 know, Tom, maybe I should ask you. Do you 6 think -- I mean, do you know anything I don't 7 know about whether we should actually be 8 fortifying with more folate? 9 MEMBER PEARSON: Well, around the 10 time there had been, relative to some 11 population-based folate levels, I believe, 12 some consideration of a further reduction from 13 the -- say 50 percent or so reduction in 14 neural tube defects and anencephaly, even 15 further. 16 MEMBER NELSON: Right. 17 MEMBER PEARSON: Because the 18 randomized control trials, I think, of high19 risk groups, you know, the folate story is 20 absolutely textbook, a case of causal -- 21 MEMBER NELSON: Right. 22 MEMBER PEARSON: -- inference. NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 70 1 All the pieces are there. 2 MEMBER NELSON: Yes. 3 MEMBER PEARSON: And even though 4 there is a public health piece, the 5 epidemiologic, ecologic piece there, the 6 question still remains whether you could get 7 down to the levels of folate that you get with 8 a supplementation strategy with women who are 9 planning childbirth -- 10 MEMBER NELSON: Right. 11 MEMBER PEARSON: -- in which you 12 get very large reductions in neural tube 13 defects, whether or not you're achieving that 14 with a fortification policy. 15 MEMBER NELSON: Yes. 16 MEMBER PEARSON: And I think this 17 is -- 18 MEMBER NELSON: Yes. 19 MEMBER PEARSON: -- so it's not a 20 scientific -- 21 MEMBER NELSON: Right. 22 MEMBER PEARSON: -- question, it's NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 71 1 almost an implementation issue about should be 2 supplementing more, as part of our charge 3 looking at the American diet. 4 MEMBER NELSON: Yes. I think it's 5 worthy to continue doing research on the 6 impact. There's different ways to look at 7 this, but to look at it before we change it, 8 there's -- it wasn't -- it was -- the initial 9 -- the monitoring research projects were not 10 well-designed before the fortification went 11 into play, and so -- which is unfortunate, 12 because this was something -- we're going into 13 a national experiment, and all of these should 14 have been set up better, and I think we need 15 to -- you know, there's still more work that 16 needs to be done on the existing 17 fortification. 18 Larry. 19 MEMBER APPEL: Yes. Hi. I'll 20 take you off the hot seat. I want to -- 21 Shelly, I have a question for you, and it has 22 nothing to do with nutrient adequacy, even NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 72 1 though that's the name of your -- phosphate 2 and phosphorous -- I mean -- phosphorous. 3 It seems that -- is there a public 4 health issue that is lurking that we haven't 5 really dealt with, which is that not 6 inadequate, but excessive intakes -- you know, 7 I think, you know, we'll come to this in 8 electrolyte, but sodium, you know, phosphate 9 is now being added to a lot of meats, and we 10 have a, you know, kidney disease epidemic, and 11 with a lot of people consuming large amounts 12 of, you know, phosphorous that they might not 13 be aware of. 14 I don't know, did that -- was 15 there a -- you listed it more as a possible 16 short-fall in children, but I'm thinking of it 17 more as a potential serious -- a potential but 18 unknown -- I'll put that "unknown" health 19 problem in the adult population. 20 MEMBER NICKOLS-RICHARDSON: This 21 is Shelly Nickols-Richardson. In response to 22 that from our dietary intake data, it is just NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 73 1 that one adolescent female group that there 2 appears to be, you know, a short-fall nutrient 3 related to phosphorous. 4 So, I don't think it's a large 5 concern. I don't think that there's a public 6 health concern in relation to a positive 7 health outcome. 8 We will be looking at abundance 9 nutrients next. That's one of our next steps, 10 and I don't know that we had really thought 11 about phosphorous as maybe in light of 12 abundance-type nutrient in relation to health 13 outcomes, but I think we could add it to the 14 list of those that we consider and take a look 15 at it from that perspective. 16 MEMBER APPEL: I guess that if you 17 do that, too, you -- just my own experience is 18 that nutrient databases are pretty inadequate, 19 and you might get a misleading result that you 20 think it's not a problem because it all adds 21 up, and it seems to be relatively low, but 22 there are so many missing values when we try NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 74 1 to attempt to understand our diets and our 2 feeding studies, that it might appear normal 3 or low, but really actually be quite high when 4 you take into account all sources. 5 MEMBER NICKOLS-RICHARDSON: 6 Shelly, again, and that's a great point. I 7 think when we consider, you know, much of the 8 dietary intake data, that there are some 9 limitations to that, putting them in the 10 context of what are the -- I'm not sure that 11 they are biochemical data to support this, but 12 what are the other public health issues of 13 concern, and maybe doing an exploratory search 14 that would lead us toward making some 15 decisions about that, but it's certainly 16 something we could take a look at. 17 CHAIR VAN HORN: Shelly -- this is 18 Linda Van Horn. I think the other topic that 19 came up during discussions within this 20 subcommittee related to the whole issue of 21 supplement use, indiscriminate, I guess I 22 should say, supplement use, especially among NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 75 1 certain segments of the population, and in 2 this case, particularly the elderly who, of 3 course, are at higher risk for development of 4 something like colon cancer. 5 And I think it was certainly a 6 telling moment to me, personally, but I would 7 imagine we all would want to continue to keep 8 in mind that what perhaps we used to think of 9 as a kind of benign activity, i.e., taking 10 vitamin, mineral supplements individually or, 11 you know, complex, may not necessarily be as 12 benign as we think in the context of food 13 fortification, and there may be reason to 14 consider studying those kinds of questions to 15 make sure that we're not overnourishing 16 certain segments of the population, and then 17 placing them at risk. 18 So, I think, as this group 19 continues to go forward and as the studies 20 move ahead, we should continue to keep that 21 very important question in mind, and plan our 22 studies to be specific about assessing not NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 76 1 only diet, but also supplement use so we can 2 take a look at that. 3 MEMBER NELSON: Linda, if I could 4 just comment on that. This is Mim Nelson. 5 During our Webinars that we had in helping us 6 to inform our work on the folic acid 7 supplementation, fortification, et cetera, all 8 of our experts, it seemed to me, and those 9 that were on the call can hopefully agree or 10 disagree with me, but that, in fact, 11 multivitamin B supplement, supplementation for 12 older adults was not advised, specifically 13 because that's where the problems come in, not 14 with the fortification, not with basic folate 15 that's in the foods, but the problem is much 16 more with actual B vitamin supplementation, 17 and in the very high levels. 18 So, I think what you -- you 19 reminded me about that, and I'll make note of 20 that. 21 MEMBER NICKOLS-RICHARDSON: Okay. 22 And we will move on with the rest of the NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 77 1 nutrient adequacy information. Let's get to 2 our appropriate slide here. 3 Okay. So now we're going to shift 4 to questions that were investigated by food 5 pattern modeling, because these questions were 6 more appropriately addressed by modeling 7 scenarios, rather than through literature 8 searches. 9 And in the next three modeling 10 questions that we discussed, for each of these 11 modeling analyses, there was a specific 12 methodology that was developed and approved by 13 the subcommittee. 14 So, as we go through these 15 different -- these three different modeling 16 analyses, you'll see that there were very 17 different approaches taken for them. 18 Cheryl's going to begin with the 19 first question related to the vegetable 20 subgroups. 21 MEMBER ACHTERBERG: Thank you, 22 Shelly. Cheryl Achterberg here. This is a NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 78 1 very different kind of research question, 2 where we're actually investigating whether or 3 not the current food group patterning or 4 categories is effective, and what would it 5 look like if we made some adjustments. 6 So, the first food pattern 7 modeling question was designed to address the 8 vegetable subgroups and current patterns of 9 intake, and more specifically the question is 10 "What revisions to the vegetable subgroups, 11 such as including tomatoes with orange 12 vegetables and leafy lettuce with dark green 13 vegetables may help to highlight vegetables of 14 importance and allow recommendations for 15 intake levels that are achievable -- that's by 16 the general public -- without compromising the 17 nutrient adequacy of the patterns themselves. 18 This current concern -- I'm sorry. 19 I went the wrong way there. This current 20 concern is that the other vegetable subgroup 21 contributes the greatest proportion to overall 22 vegetable intake in the US diet, but the NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 79 1 recommendation for orange vegetables is much 2 greater than consumption. 3 For example, the recommendations 4 are nine times greater for girls and 14 times 5 greater for boys than median intakes. Orange 6 vegetables currently count for four percent of 7 vegetable consumption, while the, quote, 8 "other vegetable" subgroup accounts for 55 9 percent. And tomatoes, alone account for 22.3 10 percent of total vegetable consumption. 11 Giving more recognition to 12 tomatoes will make vegetable consumption 13 recommendations more realistic and highlight a 14 good source of specific short-fall nutrients. 15 16 Therefore, the rationale for 17 examining potential changes in the vegetable 18 subgroups structure is four-fold: to decrease 19 the wide discrepancy between the largest 20 vegetable subgroup, "other vegetables," and 21 the smallest vegetable subgroup, orange 22 vegetables; to provide more focus on tomatoes, NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 80 1 now part of the "other vegetable" group, 2 orange vegetable group, as a vegetable choice 3 in recognition of their nutrient 4 contributions. 5 Did I skip something? 6 MEMBER NICKOLS-RICHARDSON: Just 7 go back one. 8 MEMBER ACHTERBERG: Yes, I'm 9 sorry. To facilitate development -- we'll 10 call this number three for now -- to 11 facilitate development of food intake patterns 12 that meet nutritional recommendations, within 13 calorie needs and are realistic and similar to 14 proportions selected by consumers. 15 And the forth rationale, to 16 encourage increased vegetable consumption and 17 selection of a variety of vegetables to meet 18 nutrient needs through guidance that is both 19 understood and achievable by consumers. 20 To cut to the chase, the vegetable 21 subgroups were realigned. The results are 22 that the food item clusters changed somewhat. NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 81 1 And, as you can see, orange shifted now to 2 red-orange vegetables, subgroup emerged. 3 Butterhead lettuce and bok choy 4 shifted to the dark green subgroup, and the 5 consumption of orange-red vegetables, when 6 tomatoes are included substantially increases. 7 So, red-orange vegetables, when 8 tomatoes are included, is a new subgroup we 9 have introduced and consumption is 10 substantially increased in that particular 11 group. 12 The overall vegetable 13 recommendation does not change. That is two 14 and a half cup equivalents per day. With the 15 realignment, the new recommendations are 16 within the 95th percentile of usual intake for 17 almost all age, sex categories, while still a 18 large increase above the median, the change 19 required may be more achievable than the 20 change required for meeting current targets. 21 In terms of nutrient adequacy, the 22 overall nutrient adequacy of the new patterns NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 82 1 is essentially the same as the old patterns. 2 Shifting now to conclusions. The 3 proposed revision of the vegetable subgroups 4 results in expanding to the new red-orange 5 vegetable subgroup with only minor changes in 6 the dark-green, leafy and broccoli subgroup. 7 And these proposed new amounts are 8 more achievable than existing recommendations 9 while meeting nutrient adequacy and staying 10 within an individual's calorie needs. 11 MEMBER NICKOLS-RICHARDSON: Okay. 12 Thank you, Cheryl. This is Shelly Nickols- 13 Richardson again. Our second question related 14 to modeling, dealt with "How well do USDA food 15 intake patterns using updated food intake and 16 nutrient data meet DRI's and potential 2010 17 Dietary Guideline nutrient recommendations. 18 And part of the reason for 19 conducting the vegetable subgroup modeling 20 first was to be able to use those patterns 21 within this next step. So, this was the next 22 logical question after that realigning NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 83 1 vegetable subgroups, and then looking at how 2 well do these patterns, based on the USDA 3 Dietary Guidelines meet requirements. 4 This modeling analysis was 5 actually conducted in 2005 as well for the 6 Dietary Guidelines, and the approach to the 7 modeling analysis was that appropriate energy 8 levels for food intake patterns were 9 identified based on the DRI formulas for 10 estimated energy requirements. 11 Next step was that nutritional 12 goals for these patterns were set for nine 13 vitamins, eight minerals, six macronutrients, 14 and the acceptable macronutrient distribution 15 range for five macronutrients, and then based 16 on age, sex groups. 17 Food groups were established in 18 amounts of nutrients obtained by consuming 19 various combinations of foods were determined 20 and nutrient levels in each pattern were 21 evaluated against nutritional goals. 22 To update this modeling analysis NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 84 1 for the 2010 Dietary Guidelines, more recent 2 and detailed food consumption and nutrient 3 content data were used. All foods reported 4 consumed from the 2003-2004 NHANES were 5 assigned to appropriate food item clusters and 6 an ideal -- ideal being a nutrient-dense form 7 representative food was selected for each item 8 cluster. Nutrient profiles for each food 9 group or subgroup were then calculated. 10 The vegetable subgroup realignment 11 analysis was used again, and calories and 12 nutrients provided by each pattern from the 13 nutrient profiles and recommended intake data 14 were calculated, and finally, nutritional 15 goals that were or were not met were 16 identified. 17 For all food patterns, when using 18 the nutrients and calories from ideal 19 representative foods, again, those are foods 20 that are in their nutrient-dense forms. The 21 sum of the calories from recommended amounts 22 of each food group in oils, which are NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 85 1 considered essential calories, was less than 2 the caloric goal for the pattern. 3 The remaining calories were 4 assigned to the discretionary calorie 5 allowance. 6 So, the 12 USDA food patterns meet 7 almost all of their nutritional goals for 8 adequacy. Many nutrients in the patterns are 9 well above the RDA or AI, such as protein, 10 selenium, riboflavin, copper and vitamin B12. 11 Some nutrients are within 90 to 12 110 percent of the RDA or AI, such as iron for 13 women age 19 to 50 years of age, or calcium 14 for adolescent girls. 15 Three nutrient adequacy goals are 16 not met, including vitamin E and choline as 17 well as potassium in patterns at the lower 18 calorie levels. However, these patterns meet 19 almost all nutrient goals for moderation. 20 As an example, the USDA food 21 pattern for 1400 calories includes 1,255 22 essential calories based on the ideal NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 86 1 representative food pattern modeling analysis 2 with 145 discretionary calories. 3 This example highlights that 4 consumption of nutrient-dense foods within the 5 guidance of the USDA food patterns can meet 6 the vast majority of nutrient requirements 7 with some discretionary calories available so 8 that further nutrient-dense foods or other 9 food items can also contribute to nutrient 10 goals. 11 So the proposed conclusion here is 12 that nutrient needs can be met by consuming 13 the USDA pattern of eating that includes a 14 defined energy intake level for an individual. 15 Then, the next food pattern 16 modeling question that is of interest is, 17 "What is the impact on caloric and nutrient 18 intake, if the USDA food patterns are 19 followed, but typical, rather than the ideal 20 representative choices are made?" 21 So, this question then looks at 22 what are Americans currently doing and how NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 87 1 does that compare to these ideal food choices. 2 As with the USDA food patterns, 3 modeling analysis, all foods reported consumed 4 from the 2003-2004 NHANES were assigned to 5 appropriate food item clusters, and the 6 typical food consumed, which was usually the 7 top contributor to intake from each item 8 cluster was selected as the typical 9 representative food. 10 Nutrient profiles for each food 11 group or subgroup or were calculated. 12 Calorie, sodium, cholesterol and saturated 13 fatty acid levels for nutrient profiles using 14 ideal and typical food choices were compared, 15 and excesses and deficiencies in the typical 16 choices pattern compared to ideal choices in 17 the standard were identified. 18 Calories, sodium and saturated 19 fatty acids in most food groups increased when 20 typical versus ideal food choices were 21 included in the model. 22 Typical food choices that NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 88 1 contributed to these higher levels included 2 foods from all food groups, so across all of 3 our food groups, these typical choices 4 contributed to the higher levels. 5 Must of these higher levels of 6 calories, sodium and saturated fatty acids had 7 to do with selection of processed foods, 8 methods of preparation, such as frying of 9 foods or inclusion of added sugar and whole 10 fat foods. 11 Calorie levels per cup or ounce 12 equivalent were up to 50 calories higher when 13 typical rather than ideal food choices were 14 made. So, if typical food choices were 15 continually made, moderation goals for 16 calories, total fat, saturated fat, 17 cholesterol and sodium would not be met. 18 So, a proposed conclusion is that 19 typical food choices do not substantially 20 affect nutrient adequacy goals, so nutrient 21 requirements are met with typical foods, 22 however typical foods tend to be higher, NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 89 1 again, in calories, total fat, saturated fat, 2 sodium and cholesterol, compared to the ideal 3 nutrient-dense food selected for the USDA food 4 pattern models. 5 For example, the 2000 calorie 6 pattern contains over 2400, or about 400 more 7 calories if all food choices are typical food 8 choices rather than nutrient-dense food 9 choices as modeled in the USDA food intake 10 pattern. 11 I'm going to go ahead and go on to 12 our next -- next step slide, knowing that 13 we'll come back for discussion on the modeling 14 question. So, next steps for nutrient 15 adequacy subcommittee include now moving into 16 food groups of concern. 17 We've looked at the nutrients and 18 we'll continue some work with the nutrients of 19 concern, but we want to move into those food 20 groups. We'll also be looking at abundance 21 foods or nutrients of concern and can keep 22 some of the comments in mind from today. NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 90 1 Vitamin D will be a specific 2 question, and we're moving forward with that. 3 Breakfast intake and meeting nutrient needs 4 is part of a larger question that's being 5 addressed by several subcommittees. 6 Looking at the question of 7 nutrient supplements was sort of our 8 fundamental premise of foods first, then 9 taking a look at nutrient supplements only for 10 specific intake patterns and age, gender 11 groups and looking at this in light of 12 nutrients for specific age groups. 13 We have some more modeling work to 14 be done looking at substituting whole grains 15 for enriched grains and Linda did mention we 16 would present that today, but we're holding 17 that until the next meeting to have some other 18 pieces that go along with that from other 19 subcommittees. 20 Then, also looking at vegan 21 patterns, milk and milk products, nutrients 22 from starchy vegetables compared to grains and NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 91 1 additional food patterns and nutrient 2 adequacy. So, some additional modeling that 3 needs to be done. 4 So, I'll open the discussion up 5 for questions related to the modeling. 6 MEMBER PEREZ-ESCAMILLA: I have a 7 question for Cheryl or -- Cheryl, and thank 8 you very much for a very nice presentation. 9 And this question is related to 10 the issue of adding tomatoes to the orange-red 11 group because I think it is important to have 12 an understanding of the food products that are 13 contributing the most to tomato intake in 14 different age groups in the US, because if we 15 allow for catsup and processed pasta sauces 16 and so on that are very high in sodium, do we 17 count it? 18 I'm not sure if we did a benefit19 risk analysis how that would come out. 20 MEMBER ACHTERBERG: Thank you for 21 the question. I feel confident in staying 22 that catsup is not a huge contributor to this NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 92 1 food group, but we have been doing the 2 modeling and looking specifically at the 3 particular foods, and I think, in fact, in the 4 typical diet modeling study, we have the 5 specific info on what tomato products are 6 consumed. 7 Marinara sauce is high in that 8 respect. If you were wondering about a tomato 9 sauce, and we have separated plain tomato 10 sauce from the marinara sauce which also, 11 incidentally, contains added fats, but be that 12 as it may, we have all of those data and we 13 can speak to those data. 14 But the first modeling question 15 was what difference would it make if we 16 restructured the way that vegetables were 17 categorized so that we could speak more 18 directly to the public about the consumption 19 of those vegetables. 20 MEMBER RIMM: This is Eric Rimm. 21 I mean, just to add to that comment, Rafael, I 22 think it is a really important point, but I NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 93 1 think it needs to be taken in the context of 2 all the guidelines. 3 If we have guidelines saying that 4 sodium should be reduced and the fat that's in 5 the food should be monosaturated tomato, then 6 you could make a tomato sauce that contributes 7 to the red vegetables, contributes to low 8 sodium and contributes to monounsaturated 9 fats. So, in defense of tomato sauce. 10 CHAIR VAN HORN: I would just like 11 to congratulate the group on the work done so 12 far, recognizing just how complex all these 13 questions are. But I also would like to just 14 sort of remind ourselves as we go forward with 15 this discussion today, tomorrow, that we'll 16 repeatedly remind ourselves of the obesity 17 epidemic that we have currently underway. 18 And I think everything that Shelly 19 and her group has done in regard to 20 recognizing that lower energy intake is lower 21 to be necessary for the majority of the 22 American public as we go ahead. NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 94 1 The value of energy density 2 becomes even more apparent because making 3 proper selections within each of those food 4 groups really becomes essential in a reduced 5 calorie environment, and so the food modeling 6 that is going on, and all of the effort to try 7 to come up with recommendations at various 8 calorie levels will be just really invaluable, 9 I would think, for the public as they try to 10 work their way through these choices and still 11 meet all their nutrient goals. 12 So, you know, the point that Eric 13 just made about, you know, pasta sauce that 14 makes a lot of different contributions in one 15 felled swoop will become more and more 16 important because meeting those nutrient needs 17 within a limited calorie intake will become 18 something that everyone in this country should 19 be more conscious of. 20 MEMBER ACHTERBERG: This is 21 Cheryl, if I could add to that. And, thank 22 you, Linda. NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 95 1 I think this may be the first 2 committee that's really taking in hand to what 3 the realities of average intakes as they are 4 in trying to figure how to move them in the 5 direction that's desired. 6 And that was the impetus behind a 7 lot of this food modeling. Acknowledging what 8 exists, where it is, and then trying to figure 9 out how do we shift it in the direction that 10 we think is desirable. 11 MEMBER PEARSON: Cheryl, this is a 12 directed view of maybe the entire committee, 13 and we've had a number of issues from the 14 fatty acid group relative to the probability 15 that some of our models may not show adequacy 16 in choline, and it looks like you've had that 17 kind of across the board in many instances. 18 I guess it would certainly be 19 helpful to us in our fatty acid committee to 20 get an idea of really the significance of the 21 choline recommendation, how definite those 22 are. NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 96 1 I had been led to believe that 2 these were perhaps still a little bit sketchy 3 in terms of compared to the nutrient adequacy 4 data we have for many other things, and that 5 would be very helpful for us to know that so 6 that we don't basically have kind of the tail 7 wag the dog here in terms of the -- a 8 relatively minor issue, actually starting to 9 control something that -- such as saturated 10 fat or cholesterol content, which obviously 11 are big issues. 12 MEMBER ACHTERBERG: Yes, thanks 13 Tom, for the question. It looks like I am 14 going to punt to Shelly. 15 MEMBER NICKOLS-RICHARDSON: Well, 16 I am not sure that I am receiving that ball 17 yet but I will say -- this is Shelly -- that 18 when we look at choline, obviously, there's a 19 particular food source that is abundant in 20 choline. That presents a problem for 21 cholesterol. 22 That when we look at this as being NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 97 1 a nutrient of concern for certain subgroups, 2 we're probably looking at women of 3 childbearing age, and then potentially an 4 older population. 5 So, it will not likely fall across 6 the entire population of all age ranges. 7 MEMBER PEARSON: And the evidence 8 for those concerns are strong enough to -- 9 MEMBER NICKOLS-RICHARDSON: This 10 is Shelly again. The evidence for those 11 concerns is not at the same level of -- I 12 don't think we have the ability to conduct a 13 NEL search at this point. We have done some 14 soft searches, if you will, some exploratory 15 searches, and the evidence that is there is 16 not as robust as what we have been able to do 17 for some of the other questions. 18 So, I -- we don't plan at this 19 point to have a NEL process to go along with 20 that, but it's more a cautionary note for 21 certain subgroups. 22 MEMBER SLAVIN: This is Joanne NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 98 1 here. I just wanted to mention, it's an 2 adequate intake for choline, so it isn't -- 3 you know, it's not -- so I think we do want to 4 acknowledge that, so it's similar to fiber 5 where we have and adequate intake as far as 6 the DRI, so I think we need to make sure that 7 if we're not meeting it, that we address it. 8 MEMBER APPEL: Yes, Larry Appel. 9 That was great. I -- in terms of just one 10 comment, could dark-green be just plain green 11 vegetables, you know, because I think you're 12 now moving some other -- 13 MEMBER ACHTERBERG: Okay. The 14 perennial problem. This is Cheryl. The 15 perennial problem with green beans. Their 16 nutrient profile doesn't align with the other 17 dark-green vegetables. 18 MEMBER APPEL: So what are you 19 going to put, like lettuce? Is that -- 20 MEMBER ACHTERBERG: It's not dark21 green, either, although the dark-green leafy 22 lettuces are good. So, so the iceberg lettuce NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 99 1 has fewer nutrients of interest here. It's 2 basically water, but some of the darker-green 3 leafy lettuces grouped in the dark-green leafy 4 vegetable group do have the nutrients of 5 interest. 6 MEMBER APPEL: You know, it might 7 be helpful to see sort of side-by-side, you 8 know, old system, new system to understand, 9 you know, how these sorted out, and I think 10 there is a -- I mean, I just -- I'm having a 11 little bit of difficulty understanding it 12 myself, as somebody who doesn't really 13 understand -- 14 MEMBER ACHTERBERG: Sure. 15 MEMBER APPEL: -- where all the 16 greens -- 17 MEMBER ACHTERBERG: We actually 18 have, in essence a white paper written, and I 19 think the suggestion is that these papers 20 would be attached as appendices in the report. 21 MEMBER NELSON: Sorry, this is 22 Mim. I agree. I agree. I think it might be NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 100 1 helpful to very succinctly and clearly sort of 2 describe the old and the new system and what 3 things fit in, but which would -- I'm assuming 4 would be done anyway. 5 So, beyond just a white paper, but 6 actually in the question -- yes, just to 7 clarify. But, as long as I have the speaker 8 for a second, I just want to really commend 9 Trish. The typical diet modeling, I think, 10 you know, I echo some other voices around 11 here. 12 I think it was incredibly helpful 13 because what it really, really showed, and I 14 think we've got to hammer it home, is that 15 when people are meeting their nutrient needs, 16 the typical American, the way that they're 17 meeting them to get these food groups is 18 they're, for a 2000 calorie diet they're 19 getting 2400 calories, which is significant, 20 and I just -- it's really -- I think it's 21 really important that we highlight this. 22 MEMBER APPEL: Yes, to tell you -- NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 101 1 this is Larry Appel again. Actually, this was 2 the main question I was going to raise, is 3 that when I looked at the -- what at least the 4 summary here is the substitution between ideal 5 and typical was not meant to be isocaloric, 6 which I think is a key issue, you know. 7 And so, the question that I would 8 have -- I mean, you're changing -- your doing 9 two things. One, you're letting the type of 10 food change, but also the total caloric 11 intake. 12 You know, so then saturated fat, 13 sodium and cholesterol will go up, as well as 14 actually the nutrients. A possibility. 15 So, I'm just wondering what -- you 16 know, this gets at the heart of what the type 17 of modeling should be. Should it be 18 isocaloric, or should it be, you know, let it 19 float a little bit, you know, and I really -- 20 MEMBER NELSON: But my sense is -- 21 my sense is the ideal was we can design, or we 22 -- as in the modeling, the global "we" can -- NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 102 1 this is Mim Nelson again -- that you can 2 design with ideal foods really nutrient-dense 3 wonderful diet. 4 So, it's -- and they were done at 5 different caloric levels, and that's what 6 Shelly presented. And I think that the -- 7 what we wanted to see was, okay, well, these 8 are ideal and these are great and we actually 9 can and we should be able to meet our nutrient 10 needs with eating real foods. 11 But what are Americans actually 12 eating, and how does that -- if you put that 13 screen over it, what does it look like for 14 these food groups to -- I think that that is 15 the right -- if you -- the other thing is, 16 without a doubt, if you then did it 17 isocalorically, I'm assuming by just the math, 18 if you do it isocalorically, you're going to 19 be deficient in the food groups because you'd 20 be eating a lot less of each of the things in 21 order to make that calorie. 22 MEMBER APPEL: But I guess I'm -- NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 103 1 and I don't want to be a devil's -- I actually 2 don't think it's being a devil's advocate. I 3 think that, in reality people are eating those 4 typical foods, but it's not -- I don't know 5 the extent of the calorie, how many more 6 calories, but the likelihood, you know, if 7 people are just, you know, for the obesity, 8 given the obesity epidemic, that's probably 9 only like 50 to 100 calories, you know, on 10 average that's contributed. 11 MEMBER NELSON: No. 12 MEMBER APPEL: So, if that's the 13 case -- per day. So if that's the case, then 14 do we, you know, how many calories more per 15 day -- 16 MEMBER NELSON: Over 400. 17 MEMBER APPEL: Over 400. That's 18 impossible. It's impossible. So, I think -- 19 MEMBER NELSON: But Trish is 20 shaking -- Trish is shaking her head. Maybe 21 -- 22 MEMBER ACHTERBERG: Could I -- NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 104 1 this is Cheryl. Could I speak, please. 2 Because I think it has not been widely 3 recognized that when the food guide pyramid 4 was put together, and the recommendations 5 made, they were made on the basis of a so6 called representative food items, which were 7 the most extreme, the most nutrient-dense 8 choices within each of those food groups. 9 So, comparing the most nutrient10 dense food item choices to the typical intake 11 is that gives us that 400-calorie spread on a 12 daily basis on a 2000 calorie diet. 13 So, the exercise to evaluate the 14 typical intake, I think was extremely 15 important to show us, in essence, what the gap 16 is, and to help us consider, as we are framing 17 or reframing advice what we need to be giving 18 our attention most to. 19 Does that make any more sense? 20 MEMBER APPEL: I understand but, 21 you know, neither is realistic. That's the 22 problem. And to have 400 calories more, I NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 105 1 just don't -- I mean, I think if you did 2 modeling where you somehow ratcheted the 3 calorie -- because I just, for the life of me, 4 cannot believe that, you know, people are 5 consuming 400 calories more in real life. 6 And that's what I think you're 7 trying to model, closer to real life. So, you 8 might want to say, okay, well, it's not 9 isocaloric, but maybe it's a hundred calories 10 more on average when they make bad selections. 11 MEMBER ACHTERBERG: It's not 12 intake data. 13 MEMBER APPEL: No, I realize that. 14 MEMBER ACHTERBERG: Yes. 15 MEMBER APPEL: You're trying to 16 model what would likely be happening if people 17 were consuming, you know, the typical choices 18 -- 19 MEMBER NICKOLS-RICHARDSON: The 20 top typical choices all the time. So, it's 21 one extreme to the other extreme. So, the 22 reality is probably somewhere in that 400 NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 106 1 calories. 2 Let me have Trish speak now. 3 Trish is going to say a few comments. 4 MS. BRITTEN: Hi. I think the 5 confusion about the extra 400 calories is that 6 the way we approach the modeling from the 7 staff perspective was what if Americans 8 actually followed all the advice about how 9 much to eat from every food group so that they 10 are actually are eating two and a half cups of 11 vegetables a day, they actually are eating two 12 cups of fruit a day, the three cups of milk, 13 et cetera. 14 But, they didn't get the second 15 half of the message, which is they have to be 16 in nutrient-dense forms. So, we know right 17 now that Americans are not eating two and a 18 half cups of vegetables. They are eating more 19 like a cup to a cup and a half, and about a 20 cup of -- you know, less than two cups of 21 fruit by a long shot, and less than three cups 22 of milk by a long shot. NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 107 1 So, that 400-calorie level is the 2 -- I'm sorry. I'm reminded to say that this 3 is Trish Britten from USDA. 4 So, that 400-calorie difference 5 isn't a difference that actually would happen 6 unless you had a person who said, okay, I'm 7 now -- I'm going to -- I haven't been 8 following this, I'm going to follow it, I'm 9 going to eat all of these food groups as 10 recommended, but they are still eating fried 11 chicken and they're still drinking whole milk 12 or two percent milk, and not listening to the 13 rest of the message. 14 So, that's where that difference 15 is. We just wanted to make sure that -- that 16 we identified the extent of the problem of not 17 getting the whole complete message about 18 following the food patterns. 19 MEMBER ACHTERBERG: So, in essence 20 it establishes both the floor and the ceiling. 21 MS. BRITTEN: Yes. 22 MEMBER ACHTERBERG: Through this NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 108 1 modeling. But what people actually do is 2 going to be somewhere in between. 3 MEMBER APPEL: Yes. The problem 4 is that you're using the term "typical foods," 5 but it's not a typical total intake. And if 6 you made typical foods plus typical intake, 7 you probably would get a better idea of -- of 8 what would be happening, you know, in the real 9 world if somebody was -- 10 MEMBER ACHTERBERG: Point taken. 11 MS. BRITTEN: Well, we have taken 12 data. This is Trish again. We do have intake 13 data from NHANES. We have -- we know what 14 people are eating, and so that's one point of 15 departure. 16 But this is another point of 17 departure, looking at what if we're following 18 these recommendations that would, in fact, be 19 nutrient adequacy. 20 MEMBER FUKAGAWA: This is Naomi. 21 I have a question for either Trish or Cheryl. 22 With respect to making the change that you've NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 109 1 made with respect to going to red-orange, 2 certainly the other food groups changed, 3 because you're within a finite. 4 And what impact does that have 5 with the movement around between vegetables, 6 starches, starchy vegetables, grains, et 7 cetera. 8 MS. BRITTEN: The biggest change 9 was in -- it really kind of equalized the 10 amount of vegetables and the amount of 11 consumption that came from each one of the 12 subgroups, because the other -- the, quote, 13 "other vegetable" subgroup in the old system 14 represented over half of all vegetables 15 consumed and it was kind of a mish-mash of 16 different vegetables. 17 But pulling the tomatoes out, that 18 was the only really big change that was made. 19 All the others are minor. I would call them 20 housekeeping. 21 What you've done is, you've 22 established a red-orange group that is about, NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 110 1 I think it's 30 percent of vegetable 2 consumption, but I don't have the numbers in 3 front of me, and a, quote, "other vegetable" 4 group that's about 30 percent. 5 So, things are spread out. The 6 starchy vegetables, the legumes, were not 7 changed at all in this modeling, and the dark8 green only changed by finding a couple of 9 dark-green leaves that are similar to the 10 other dark-green leaves, which were the 11 butterhead lettuce and bok choy, putting them 12 in where they belonged, along with the romaine 13 lettuce and the spinach and the collard greens 14 and those things. 15 So, that was more of a 16 housekeeping issue. But the big change was 17 that -- that all of the intake of tomatoes 18 kind of got lost and we had this focus, if you 19 look at our vegetable subgroups of orange 20 vegetables, a real focus on essentially four 21 vegetables which only one has any kind of 22 major consumption, and that's carrots. NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 111 1 MEMBER FUKAGAWA: But the actual 2 amounts that they would be consuming did 3 change. 4 MS. BRITTEN: The total -- we kept 5 that constant, because the question really was 6 realigning the vegetable subgroups, not 7 increasing total vegetable consumption above 8 what's now currently recommended. We just 9 shifted the amounts around. 10 MEMBER ACHTERBERG: Cheryl 11 Achterberg. So, these calculations were done 12 in cup equivalents. 13 MEMBER FUKAGAWA: If they were 14 they did change from 2005 for other things, 15 such as peas, dried beans and peas would have 16 gone down. 17 MEMBER ACHTERBERG: Actually, they 18 didn't, but we have all of the data in this 19 white paper. I have the numbers all in front 20 of me. You probably don't want me to sit and 21 read them to you, but -- but what we kept 22 constant was the volume of vegetables, and all NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 112 1 we did was sort them differently. 2 MEMBER PEREZ-ESCAMILLA: Cheryl, I 3 have a question about -- are you going to be 4 able to model -- and this is Rafael -- for 5 families or individuals on a limited budget, 6 the types of food selections that they could 7 make to meet nutrient requirements and stay 8 within caloric requirements and budgetary 9 constraints? 10 MS. BRITTEN: This is Trish. We 11 actually, at USDA have a whole other -- other 12 set of food plans. They are designed 13 specifically to look at lower income. I think 14 there was a presentation in April or January 15 by -- by Andi Carlson of our office, and the 16 most famous of our food plans is the Thrifty 17 Food Plan, which is the basis for Food Stamp 18 allotments. 19 It actually used the same food 20 grouping system as -- as our -- the patterns 21 you're looking at that are the basis for 22 MyPyramid. NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 113 1 And she does a computerized 2 simulation to identify how to put -- meet all 3 the constraints of the amounts that are 4 recommended from each food group and all the 5 nutrient constraints and what foods come up 6 with -- with meeting that at the lowest cost. 7 And so, that's what ends up being 8 the Thrifty Food Plan. So, essentially, yes, 9 we do it, and that is updated on a regular 10 basis as well. 11 So, presumably, after these 12 guidelines are out, that will be updated 13 again, and so people will be able to see foods 14 that are at minimum cost that meet all of the 15 constraints of nutrient adequacy and food 16 group recommendations. 17 MEMBER ACHTERBERG: And perhaps 18 just for the sake of clarification -- this is 19 Cheryl again -- I'll share a few numbers just 20 to give you a picture of this. 21 So, dark-green vegetables, 5.38 22 percent, red-orange, rounding it now to 27 NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 114 1 percent, legumes six percent, starchy, 30 2 percent, other, 32 percent. Whereas, the 3 "other" used to be over 50 percent. 4 So, the shift is really out of the 5 "other" and into red-orange. And as Trish 6 described it, almost everything else is 7 margins, on the margins and housekeeping. 8 CHAIR VAN HORN: Okay. Other 9 questions or comments in regard to this? 10 MEMBER ACHTERBERG: I just have 11 one. I'm sorry. Go ahead, Xav. 12 MEMBER PI-SUNYER: I just wanted 13 to clarify, is this a done deal? 14 MEMBER ACHTERBERG: Cheryl. 15 Everything we're presenting today, in the 16 spirit of everything else we're presenting 17 today, I guess are provisional, but it was the 18 basis from which all things flow in terms of 19 our other modeling. 20 So, all of our other modeling 21 exercises did so with this regrouping. 22 MEMBER NELSON: So, -- this is Mim NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 115 1 -- a little bit of the same follow-up 2 question. What if we, after, you know, April, 3 that we say that actually it's not, you know, 4 three vegetables a day or whatever the number 5 is, that it should be five or six, does then - 6 - do we sort of update the modeling process? 7 Is that sort of -- okay. 8 Because, I think we ought to be a 9 little careful, because there may be evidence 10 why we want more fruits and vegetables. 11 MEMBER ACHTERBERG: I don't think 12 this would get in the way at all. Rather, you 13 know, our preexisting organization, if you 14 wanted people to eat more fruits and 15 vegetables, it was very hard to steer them 16 into anything except other vegetables. 17 But, the choices in that other 18 category essentially equate cucumbers and 19 iceberg lettuce to tomatoes, but from a 20 nutritional point of view, they are very, very 21 different in terms of contributions to the 22 diet. And that's what we were trying to take NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 116 1 into account. 2 MEMBER NICKOLS-RICHARDSON: And 3 this is Shelly. Just for the record, we were 4 nodding head. The answer to Mim's question is 5 yes. 6 MEMBER NELSON: Okay. 7 CHAIR VAN HORN: And maybe just to 8 kind of summarize the discussion that we just 9 had, I'm looking again at your slide, talking 10 about the nutrients of concern, and the short11 fall nutrients which in both adults and 12 children, you know, A, C, D, E, K, you know, 13 calcium, magnesium, potassium and dietary 14 fiber. 15 Well, obviously, very many of 16 those would be accommodated if there was a 17 greater intake of fruits and vegetables across 18 the entire population. So, as we continue to 19 go forward and as Trish continues to do her 20 modeling, I think, once again, in an obese 21 environment, we're looking at ways to enhance 22 nutrient density without increasing calories. NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 117 1 And so, you know, making choices 2 within this new configuration is more likely 3 to result in nutrient adequacy where these 4 nutrients are concerned. 5 And in addition, you know, 6 initiating that, I think is really where we 7 would like to see people go. There's no 8 question that the kinds of things we'll be 9 recommending mean some differences, mean some 10 changes that we're advocating here that 11 people, children, families, policies, we'll 12 need to make, not only to meet those 13 nutrients, but also to address the obesity 14 problem. 15 So, I believe that what we're 16 describing here is the essence of that, and as 17 we continue, you know, we'll simply continue 18 to add further to how that ideal eating 19 pattern should look, and hope that, you know, 20 we can come up with practical and cost21 effective ways to make that happen. 22 Other questions, comments on this NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 118 1 very important subcommittee? 2 (No response.) 3 CHAIR VAN HORN: All right. With 4 that, I think I would like to adjourn for ten 5 minutes just a postponement, or a break for 6 everyone, and we'll resume promptly at three 7 o'clock eastern time. Thank you. 8 (Whereupon, a short recess was 9 taken from 2:49 p.m. until 3:00 p.m.) 10 CHAIR VAN HORN: Welcome back. We 11 are ready to get started for the second 12 presentation of the group this afternoon, 13 which will be chaired by Joanne Slavin on 14 carbohydrate and proteins, and we have a rich 15 discussion in store. Thank you. 16 MEMBER SLAVIN: Thanks, Linda. 17 Yes, we're the carbohydrate and protein 18 subcommittee, and I'd like to acknowledge my 19 other members listed here, Dr. Cheryl 20 Achterberg, Dr. Pi-Sunyer and Dr. Van Horn. 21 I would also like to acknowledge 22 the wonderful staff that works with us, Jan NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 119 1 Adams, Eve Essery, all the NEL people, the 2 librarians. It's been a ton of literature 3 searches we're going to go through today and 4 had a lot of help with that. 5 The topics we're going through 6 today are all NEL searches, and the way we 7 structured our work at the end we'll give you 8 a list of all of the things that are also on 9 the committee's plate to do. 10 But everything that we're going to 11 talk about today are NEL searches. And they 12 are listed in the next slide. Glycemic load 13 and glycemic index by Dr. Pi-Sunyer. 14 I'll talk about dietary protein 15 patterns and then we will get into our food 16 groups discussions, fruit and vegetables. 17 Cheryl will talk about and I will cover milk 18 and milk products, and then dried beans and 19 peas. 20 So, I'm going to turn it over to 21 Dr. Pi-Sunyer. Thanks, Eve. 22 MEMBER PI-SUNYER: Thank you, NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 120 1 Joanne. So this first presentation is a 2 review of glycemic index and glycemic load, 3 and we asked the following questions: What is 4 the relationship between glycemic index and 5 glycemic load, and body weight, cancer, type 6 II diabetes and cardiovascular disease? 7 First of all, I want to go through 8 some definitions. Glycemic index is a 9 classification proposed to qualify the 10 relevant blood glucose response to consuming 11 carbohydrate-containing foods. 12 Operationally, it is the area 13 under the curve for the increase in blood 14 glucose after the ingestion of a set amount of 15 carbohydrate in a food, generally 50 grams 16 during the two-hour postprandial period 17 relative to the same amount of carbohydrate 18 from a reference food, white bread or glucose, 19 tested in the same individual under the same 20 conditions, and using the initial blood 21 glucose concentration as a baseline. 22 Glycemic load is an indicator of NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 121 1 the glucose response or insulin demand that is 2 induced by total carbohydrate intake. It is 3 calculated by multiplying the weighted mean of 4 the dietary glycemic index of the diet of an 5 individual by the percentage of total energy 6 from carbohydrate. 7 And the glycemic response is the 8 effects of carbohydrate-containing foods, the 9 effects that they have on blood glucose 10 concentration during the time course of 11 digestion. 12 With regard to the search strategy 13 that we used, we used -- we looked at any 14 references that were available from June 2004 15 to March 2009 for body weight and cancer. 16 When we did that for 17 cardiovascular disease and type II diabetes, 18 we found very few references, so we went back 19 and looked at the time range from January 20 2000. 21 We considered incident disease as 22 outcomes. Neoplasm was the search term used NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 122 1 for cancer and all types of cancer were 2 included. We excluded all systematic reviews 3 and meta-analysis and reviewed only original 4 research articles. 5 The first question, then, is what 6 is the relationship between glycemic index and 7 load and body weight. The proposed conclusion 8 with a grade of strong, is that GI and GL are 9 not associated with weight and do not lead to 10 greater weight loss or better weight 11 maintenance. 12 There was no difference between 13 high versus low GI and GL diets of greater 14 than eight-week durations in facilitating 15 weight loss. 16 The review of the evidence, we 17 found 22 articles relating to this, 13 18 randomized clinical trials, two prospective 19 cohort studies and seven cross-sectional 20 studies. 21 The randomized control trials 22 overwhelmingly show no difference between high NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 123 1 and low GI diets in achieving weight loss or 2 maintenance. Data on glycemic load were less 3 numerous, but show the same results. And 4 observational studies validate this finding 5 from RCT's. 6 The second question is: What is 7 the relationship between glycemic index and 8 load and cancer? Again, the proposed 9 conclusion grade is strong. The evidence is 10 strong that the epidemiological evidence for 11 an association between glycemic index or 12 glycemic load and cancer is overwhelmingly 13 negative. 14 The review of the evidence, we 15 found 26 articles, 19 prospective longitudinal 16 observational studies, one cross-sectional, 17 observational study, five case control and one 18 case cohort study. 19 Seventeen prospective studies 20 examined the association between GI and 21 cancer, one showed a very weak positive 22 association for total cancer, 15 found no NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 124 1 association, and you can see the different 2 cancers that were involved, endometrial, 3 pancreatic, breast, stomach and colorectal, 4 and one found an inverse association for 5 colorectal cancer. 6 With regard to glycemic load, 19 7 prospective studies examined the association 8 between glycemic load and cancer. One, again, 9 showed a very weak positive association for 10 total cancer. Sixteen found no association 11 with endometrial, pancreatic, breast, stomach 12 and colorectal cancer, and one found an 13 inverse association for colorectal cancer. 14 No other associations were 15 observed except in the case control reports. 16 In the case control reports, three found GI to 17 be significantly associated with cancer. One 18 for prostate and one for gastric and one for 19 thyroid, and similarly for glycemic load. 20 With regard to type II diabetes, 21 the question is: What is the relationship 22 between glycemic index and load and type II NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 125 1 diabetes? 2 For glycemic index, the proposed 3 conclusion with a Grade of II, or moderate, is 4 that there is mixed evidence as to whether 5 there is an association between a high GI and 6 type II diabetes. 7 With regard to glycemic load, the 8 proposed conclusion with a Grade I of strong, 9 is that there is little evidence to suggest 10 that a high glycemic load is associated with 11 type II diabetes. 12 The review of the evidence shows 13 ten longitudinal prospective observational 14 studies. With regard to the glycemic index, 15 five reports found a positive association, two 16 were from the same cohort, four found no 17 association, and one found an inverse 18 association. 19 With regard to glycemic load, one 20 report found a positive association, seven 21 found no relationship, and two found an 22 inverse association. NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 126 1 With regard to cardiovascular 2 disease, the proposed conclusion is Grade III, 3 very limited data, and the conclusion is the 4 evidence for an association between high GI or 5 high GL and cardiovascular disease is more 6 negative than positive, but the evidence 7 available is inadequate, really, to come to a 8 firm conclusion regarding this question. 9 The review of the evidence with 10 regard to cardiovascular disease, we found 11 eight articles. Seven were longitudinal 12 prospective observational studies, and one was 13 a case control study. 14 The relationships between GI and 15 GL and cardiovascular disease outcomes were 16 inconsistent. Three studies reported a 17 relationship between GI and GL and 18 cardiovascular outcome in women with a BMI 19 greater than 23 or 25, but not in those with 20 lower BMI. 21 So, overall, if we put the 22 questions together and say what is the NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 127 1 relationship between GI, GL and weight, type 2 II diabetes, cardiovascular disease and 3 cancer, I think the overall conclusion is 4 strong with a Grade of I. 5 Current evidence predominantly 6 shows no relationship of GI and weight or 7 cancer, and no relationship of GL and weight 8 type II diabetes and cancer. 9 The evidence for GI and type II 10 diabetes is mixed, but more strongly negative 11 than positive. The evidence for the 12 relationship of either GI or GL in 13 cardiovascular disease is inadequate to come 14 to any conclusion. 15 Thank you very much. 16 MEMBER SLAVIN: I think what we'd 17 like to do is, since our different questions 18 don't relate, if anyone has a question now on 19 glycemic index, glycemic load, please ask. 20 MEMBER APPEL: Yes. Xav, a 21 question. I notice that you didn't include 22 systematic reviews and meta-analyses, and I NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 128 1 think that a lot of other groups are using 2 those, so I was just sort of curious what the 3 rationale was, because I think -- I was hoping 4 -- I wasn't quite sure. 5 MEMBER PI-SUNYER: Well, we 6 thought it was better to go to the original 7 literature rather than look at the reviews. 8 So, we went to the original publications. 9 MEMBER APPEL: But sometime -- I 10 mean, but then there's the -- I realize that, 11 that's useful going to the originals, but then 12 to synthesize -- I guess if it's a 13 consistently null, and you know, you aggregate 14 and you get point estimates that are null, 15 then that reinforces the overall conclusion. 16 But sometimes, you know, things 17 that tend -- you know, where there's 18 inadequate statistical power, of course, and 19 you aggregate, you might get a result. 20 MEMBER PI-SUNYER: Well, we could 21 go back and do that. We felt that we had 22 enough data -- I don't think that we could NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 129 1 resolve the cardiovascular one if we went back 2 and looked at the review ones, and I think the 3 other would probably stay pretty much the 4 same. 5 But, we could certainly do that if 6 the committee wants us to go back. 7 The only advantage I could see to 8 that would be that the reviews would probably 9 go back beyond 2005, and so would include some 10 studies that were not included here, because 11 our window has been between 2005 and 2009, 12 except for diabetes and cardiovascular 13 disease, where we didn't have enough -- we 14 didn't feel we had enough data from 2005 to 15 2009 to come to any conclusions. 16 MEMBER NELSON: This is Mim. I 17 had sort of a similar question, because I 18 think that -- that I sure would feel more 19 comfortable if there were systematic review or 20 meta-analysis that sort of corroborated this 21 and went back, because I'm concerned about 22 some of our questions where there may have NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 130 1 been really good trials that were done before 2 our cutoff, were sort of -- not that we're in 3 a vacuum, but we're not necessarily reviewing 4 those, and I think that that's where a meta5 analysis or review can sort of corroborate and 6 we feel solid. 7 I think it might be really 8 helpful, because if it doesn't say anything 9 different, it's more, you know, confirmatory 10 and it does go back further in history, which 11 I think can be helpful. 12 MEMBER PI-SUNYER: Well, we can 13 certainly do that if the subcommittee wishes. 14 Tom. 15 MEMBER PEARSON: This is Tom 16 Pearson. It seems in the lipid, in the fatty 17 acid group we were coming across a number of 18 times an end point that was not related to a 19 nutrient, except in the subgroup with 20 diabetes, or metabolic syndrome, and I was 21 wondering if you got any signal since, you 22 know, seven or eight percent of Americans now NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 131 1 are diabetic, and probably another 25 percent 2 are pre-diabetic. 3 Did you get any possible subgroup 4 signals of the glycemic load index, et cetera, 5 that would suggest that as a subgroup that 6 might have some -- a different conclusion than 7 you're drawing? 8 MEMBER PI-SUNYER: I think it's 9 possible that a diabetic group would have a 10 different result with regard to this. Our -- 11 I think when we started our deliberations we - 12 - we agreed that we wouldn't do diseases, that 13 we would do it essentially we're talking to 14 healthy nonchronic disease Americans. 15 If we branch out and do diabetes 16 and cardiovascular disease and so forth, we 17 could do that, but then that would greatly 18 change the whole -- the whole inspection of 19 the evidence. 20 One of the problems with the 21 diabetes ones, I think, if you look at them as 22 most of them are very short-term, you know, we NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 132 1 generally said that we would only look at 2 those that went longer than eight weeks. 3 There are a lot of single-meal or 4 short -- very short-term studies with diabetic 5 patients. There aren't many long-term 6 studies. There are some, but not very many. 7 MEMBER PEARSON: No, I agree. We 8 did the same thing, but these came up in the 9 course of looking at other papers where the 10 authors looked at the subgroup and said that, 11 but it didn't look like the diabetics were 12 acting the same way as the healthy groups. I 13 just wondered if that was a signal you got. 14 MEMBER PEREZ-ESCAMILLA: Xavier, 15 this Rafael. My understanding is that there 16 is quite a large intra individual variability 17 in glycemic measures. And if that is the 18 case, could that explain why it is so 19 difficult to find association with any of the 20 outcomes or do you think it's just a poor 21 biomarker for predicting chronic disease? 22 MEMBER PI-SUNYER: Well, I think NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 133 1 it's probably both. I think it's certainly 2 true, there is an enormous variation from time 3 to time. We know that even from a glucose 4 load for a two-hour glucose tolerance curve. 5 You know, one day a person could 6 be normal and the other day abnormal. It's 7 created a bit of havoc with diagnosis. So, we 8 know there is this variation that's very 9 strong, but I think, you know, whether it's -- 10 that it's a biomarker effect, there could be 11 some of that, too. 12 MEMBER SLAVIN: I am going to cut 13 in if that's okay, unless there's a pressing 14 question, just to keep on our schedule. 15 Appreciate that -- the glycemic index load was 16 an example of one that was reviewed in 2005, 17 so then we took the NEL approach. 18 We're going to move on to 19 something that is new to this committee, so we 20 had nothing to start from, so we -- what is 21 the association between consumption of various 22 dietary patterns, plant-based, animal based NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 134 1 and vegan, and health outcomes. 2 And in trying to put this question 3 together, these are the ways we came up to 4 phrase them. "How did the health outcomes of 5 a plant-based diet compare to that of an 6 animal-based diet?" 7 "How did the health outcomes 8 differ between those who follow a vegan, non9 animal protein diet, and those who consume 10 animal products?" 11 Definitions were a problem, just 12 we came up with these, and this is the way we 13 searched, and this is -- and at the end you 14 will see that this is a limitation of this 15 field. 16 We define the animal-based diet as 17 a dietary pattern that includes regular 18 consumption of animal products, a plant-based 19 diet, as a dietary pattern that includes 20 occasional consumption of animal products with 21 most dietary intake coming from plant foods, 22 and a vegan diet as a dietary pattern that NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 135 1 does not include animal products. 2 We went back, trying to figure out 3 how far to search. Our date range, January 4 2000 to June 2009. Children and adults, two 5 years and older, and specific health outcomes 6 were not identified in the search, so we 7 wanted to go fairly broad in this search. 8 First question: How do the health 9 outcomes of a plant-based diet compare to that 10 of an animal-based diet, and our conclusion is 11 a Grade III limited. 12 Using the current NEL process, 13 intake of a plant-based diet is associated 14 with lower BMI and blood pressure, no 15 protective properties of vegetarian diets 16 against cancers were found in the EPIC-Oxford 17 cohort, and a little bit of a disclaimer here 18 is that the differences in eating patterns 19 among countries are great and affect the 20 results of this question. 21 The studies that came in to the 22 NEL review: 18 observational studies, 15 NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 136 1 longitudinal cohort, two-case controls, 11 2 cross-sectional studies. They represented 3 data from nine different countries, and six 4 articles were actually from the same EPIC5 Oxford cohort in the UK. 6 They've made an attempt to include 7 vegetarian, so it was one of the few cohort 8 studies that has enough vegetarians. Some of 9 the limitations of this, small sample sizes of 10 those consuming plant-based compared to 11 animal-based diets in these cohorts, and 12 that's particularly true of vegans. 13 But even people that are more 14 plant-based, there is a small number, and this 15 all inconsistent classification of plant-based 16 diets, that in most studies there's not a way 17 that this gets sorted out, that people go into 18 these categories. 19 So, I think the Oxford study that 20 -- the reason that we have data from that is 21 that they made an attempt to do that. Most 22 other studies, the numbers in these groups are NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 137 1 very small, and they are not easily 2 classified. 3 Question: How did the health 4 outcomes differ between those who follow a 5 vegan, non-animal protein diet, and those who 6 consume animal products? Our Grade III, 7 limited for a conclusion, there are very few 8 studies that compare vegan diets to animal9 based diets. 10 So, any types of study, 11 perspective, interventions, there just aren't 12 studies out there that have been published in 13 this area to go from. There is some limited 14 data that vegans have lower body mass index 15 than meat-eaters. There is some data that 16 vegans may have lower blood pressure than 17 meat-eaters. 18 There's -- in looking at nutrient 19 data in these studies, vegans have 20 significantly lower intakes of calcium than 21 meat-eaters. So there's some data that a 22 vegan eating pattern may improve certain NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 138 1 biomarkers, but can also be associated with 2 lower intakes of some nutrients, and 3 particularly calcium coming out here. 4 Dietary protein patterns, review 5 of the evidence, five observational studies, 6 two longitudinal cohorts, three cross7 sectional. Again, four were based on this 8 EPIC-Oxford cohort, and the limitations of 9 very small number of vegans and semi10 vegetarians in this cohort. 11 We have a big section on research 12 recommendations on this just because this 13 area, even though there's a lot of interest, a 14 lot of public comments, and we really wanted 15 to do a nice job of reviewing this and seeing 16 what's out there, but there are really a need 17 for well-defined cohort studies of populations 18 where we have people consuming plant-based 19 diets compared to animal-based diets. 20 Some of the potential limitations 21 of plant-based diets for key nutrients come 22 out: calcium, iron, B12, protein quality, NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 139 1 especially in children and the elderly, and 2 some of these can be done with a modeling. 3 We'll talk more about that as potential ways 4 to get at that. 5 Better assessment tools to 6 classify vegetarian dietary patterns in 7 epidemiologic studies. Most of the studies, 8 there's very few people in these categories, 9 anyway, and they're not well-classified. 10 A need to identify and follow 11 cohorts that include a significant number of 12 vegan subjects on US diets compared to matched 13 protein eaters. I mentioned most of the data 14 is in other countries, or hardly any US data 15 at all. A lot of variation between the -- 16 among all these different countries and the 17 results. 18 And then there are -- essentially, 19 I could find -- we could find really no 20 intervention studies where people were 21 actually given vegan diets compared to other 22 non-vegan diets, and looked at biomarkers, NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 140 1 weight loss, anything like that. There's just 2 no real studies out there that make those 3 comparisons. 4 All right. Any questions about 5 animal protein patterns? 6 MEMBER FUKAGAWA: I do. This is 7 Naomi Fukagawa. 8 MEMBER SLAVIN: Yes. 9 MEMBER FUKAGAWA: Presumably into 10 the category of protein quality, you are 11 implying that it's the amino acid distribution 12 within vegetable versus animal proteins? 13 Because there are definite differences that 14 will occur based on some of the essential 15 amino acids, and therefore, it could have an 16 impact on health outcomes. 17 MEMBER SLAVIN: Well, the way this 18 search was -- the questions were put together 19 was just animal versus plant, so we didn't 20 talk about all the differences that 21 potentially would be in those diets, whether - 22 - you know, because absolutely protein NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 141 1 quality, there would be big differences there. 2 MEMBER FUKAGAWA: So that's what 3 you mean by protein quality in that research 4 areas, or research recommendations? 5 MEMBER SLAVIN: Okay. 6 MEMBER FUKAGAWA: Looking at that, 7 that was the question. 8 MEMBER SLAVIN: Okay. Yes. 9 MEMBER FUKAGAWA: And a follow-up 10 question to that is, another important 11 consideration is whether it's total protein 12 intake or really the type of protein that 13 induces some of the, you know, negative 14 health, or whatever health outcomes you may be 15 concerned about, because there are some sort 16 of prospective sort of, you know, studies and 17 clinical research centers, et cetera, that 18 might suggest that it's the total protein 19 intake, not really the type of protein that 20 could be associated with physiologic changes 21 that lead to negative health outcomes. 22 MEMBER SLAVIN: Right. In some of NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 142 1 our other areas we're going to look at with 2 the macronutrient distribution of 3 carbohydrates, proteins and fats in weight 4 loss and relation to biomarkers will get at 5 that more than this question will. 6 This question was really just set 7 up of, if we look at protein source, plant 8 versus animal, and ask that question straight9 out, what kind of differences do we see? 10 MEMBER PEREZ-ESCAMILLA: Joanne, 11 this is Rafael. You know, the difference in 12 lifestyles between vegetarians and non13 vegetarians have been well-documented for a 14 number of risk factors, others than diet, and 15 I'm assuming that, you know, these studies 16 probably control for a number of those, but 17 still, you know, without a randomized trial, 18 this is an area where it's, I think, very 19 difficult to interpret the differences. 20 MEMBER SLAVIN: We looked at some 21 information on just number of vegetarians and 22 vegans in the US and I think it's like 2.3 and NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 143 1 1.4, so it's a very small number. 2 So these large studies, typically 3 we don't get very many people -- and people do 4 go, you know, from category to category. They 5 become vegans and then they, you know, stop 6 being vegans. 7 So, I think we wanted to ask this 8 question because of all the public comments we 9 got to see what -- what information is out 10 there and to -- I think the research 11 recommendations would say there's a real need 12 to generate more research in this area to 13 answer a lot of the questions that we have. 14 Mim. 15 MEMBER NELSON: Well, I have a 16 question because -- this is Mim Nelson. I 17 also wonder, the reality, seeing that there's 18 less than, let's say, three percent of the 19 population that is vegan or even vegetarian, 20 isn't the more relevant question on the range 21 -- like high, abundant meat-eaters, versus, 22 you know, like along the spectrum so that -- I NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 144 1 mean, isn't there some data that, you know, 2 people that eat meat, you know, three times a 3 day, that they may not have as great health 4 outcomes as people that eat, you know, meat, 5 twice a week kind of thing. 6 So, it's on the spectrum, not in 7 the categorical, but more as a continuous 8 variable, I guess, is what I'm getting at. 9 MEMBER SLAVIN: We are asking a 10 question on animal protein later on, and I 11 think that would get at that as far as more of 12 a quantity. 13 I think there's this kind of 14 perception, though, that there would be a huge 15 difference in health outcomes if you separate 16 it out, you know, vegetarians versus meat17 eaters. 18 And with the data we have, that we 19 can't -- that data doesn't exist. Now, 20 whether, if you had -- I don't know, I think 21 it would be good to study people and have more 22 information. NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 145 1 But even like, meat-eating -- you 2 know, Cheryl wants to chime in. Help me out 3 here. 4 MEMBER ACHTERBERG: I think my 5 perception of going through the literature is 6 that somewhere along the line we, as a 7 nutrition community, stopped investigating 8 vegetarian diets, vegans or plant-based foods. 9 There were a lot more studies done 10 about 20 years ago, but the diets that people 11 consumed then about 20 years ago are quite 12 different, I think, than the plant-based 13 vegetarian diets today. 14 So, I think, in general, all we 15 can say is there was a big hole in the 16 literature that needs to be filled, and it's 17 very hard for us to speculate beyond that. 18 MEMBER SLAVIN: Tom. 19 MEMBER PEARSON: Were the -- this 20 is Tom Pearson. Were the blood pressure 21 changes explained by the BMI changes in the 22 vegans versus the meat-eater? NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 146 1 MEMBER SLAVIN: I think they were, 2 because that's the same study that information 3 came from. So, yes. 4 MEMBER PEARSON: So all of that, 5 there's no other pathways to look like we're 6 acting -- 7 MEMBER SLAVIN: Not reported. 8 MEMBER APPEL: This is Larry 9 Appel. I have a little bit of perspective on 10 this because actually the rationale for the 11 DASH Diet was a vegetarian diets lower blood 12 pressure and if you go to the RFA that was 13 part of it. 14 So, the fact that the literature 15 search was clipped, what was it -- ten years, 16 is a problem because the two major study -- 17 there are clinical trials of vegetarian diets 18 and blood pressure, and they both showed about 19 a five millimeter reduction in blood pressure, 20 one and hypertensive and one in 21 nonhypertensive. 22 So -- and I grant you, there are NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 147 1 not a lot of clinical trials in this, so it 2 won't be -- get a rating of I, but there are 3 clinical trials out there, and it was just 4 before your point in time. So, that's one 5 thing. 6 And then, just to get to Cheryl's 7 point, I actually wanted to do a clinical 8 trial. It didn't have the menus for DASH Diet 9 versus a vegetarian version of the DASH Diet, 10 could not get it funded, couldn't even get 11 approval to submit the application. 12 So, the reality is that, you know, 13 that when you try to even do the studies and 14 you have a good design and an infrastructure 15 to do these things, you might not be able to 16 get it done. 17 MEMBER NELSON: But -- this is Mim 18 Nelson. I mean, I think we have to, with all 19 these questions, be careful about clipping the 20 data at a certain time point because a lot of 21 times -- we have to be cognizant of previous 22 research because otherwise, some of the best NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 148 1 research may have been done earlier. We just 2 have to be very careful about it. 3 MEMBER APPEL: Yes. I don't know 4 what the solution is, though. If you just 5 say, you know, how do you deal with this if, 6 you know, if you -- the last ten years when 7 your best studies are done 30 years ago or 25 8 years ago and they were trials. 9 MEMBER SLAVIN: Well, I also think 10 just the diet has changed at that point, that 11 with soy and some of the -- yes, some of the 12 newer things that people are consuming, it 13 would be nice to have more current studies on 14 that. 15 CHAIR VAN HORN: The other thing 16 we were discussing earlier on this subject -- 17 this is Linda Van Horn -- is the fact that 18 what we do have are data that suggest that 19 people who eat more vegetable protein versus 20 animal protein -- in other words, not 21 necessarily pure vegans or vegetarians, even, 22 but rather do consume a diet that is more NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 149 1 vegetable plant-based, those data exist in 2 greater abundance. 3 And so, you know, sometimes it's a 4 matter of looking at the data through those 5 eyes and being able to tweak and filter out 6 those answers from data that were not 7 necessarily collected to answer that question. 8 And I think this group has done a 9 great job of trying to do that, and I believe 10 we'll probably go forward a little bit more on 11 that -- that level. 12 Despite what Joanne said about the 13 very small estimate of vegans, less than two 14 percent in the population, I suspect, and I 15 think we already know that there are more 16 people who eat relatively less animal protein 17 and more vegetable protein, and that 18 population is somewhat greater, which would 19 allow us to look at some of those 20 relationships. 21 So, I think that's kind of the 22 direction we're more likely to head, rather NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 150 1 than an all-out randomized control trial, 2 looking at, you know, one versus the other. 3 MEMBER SLAVIN: I wanted to follow 4 up on Naomi's point, too, just about protein 5 quality because, as we talk about people 6 eating less, I think protein quality becomes a 7 more important variable. 8 MEMBER NELSON: Linda -- this Mim. 9 Shouldn't we make sure that some of the 10 studies that you're referring to are -- it 11 seems that they would be appropriate in this 12 search category that we -- that Joanne just 13 reviewed, that we should make sure that those 14 papers are in there because sometimes these 15 search terms can really cut out a whole 16 category of studies that should be considered. 17 CHAIR VAN HORN: Yes. To share 18 with those who are listening and may know 19 specifically. Hello. Linda Van Horn. To 20 share with those who are listening and may not 21 know this specifically about the kind of 22 search that we're doing and the use of the NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 151 1 NEL, et cetera, it's only as good as the 2 search terms that are applied. 3 And I'm not suggesting that 4 they're not good. They're absolutely 5 wonderful, and this is the closest we've ever 6 come, I think, to doing a thorough evidence7 based analysis. 8 But without a doubt, even in our 9 deliberations earlier today we recognized that 10 there were certain studies, certain papers, 11 certain topic areas that, for whatever reason, 12 were simply not captured by that search that 13 we now need to go back and work with our 14 librarian staff and group to try to make sure 15 that we've done justice to the availability of 16 some of those data, even if it's a hand search 17 to try to be sure we incorporate some of that. 18 So, you know, it's not a perfect 19 world and some things will, you know, simply 20 fall out, but I think the goal now is to look 21 at whatever was provided on a standardized 22 approach and make sure we're not missing NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 152 1 anything by going back over it with some of 2 these other studies. 3 MEMBER SLAVIN: I wanted to 4 mention -- this is Joanne again, Linda, that 5 we are looking at animal protein products as 6 another one of our searches. So, this is not 7 -- we're not done with protein. So, there is 8 -- yes, we're just starting. 9 So, any other protein questions 10 before we go to food groups? 11 Roger? 12 MEMBER CLEMENS: Yes. Rog. A 13 number of years ago there were a number of 14 studies that looked at protein in excess. If 15 you are to reexamine to Larry's comment, go 16 back another ten, 20 years, would your group 17 look at the potential issues associated with 18 excess protein intake. 19 I think the current USDA data 20 indicate we're taking about two times the 21 amount of animal protein than we do in terms 22 of plant protein. I just throw that out, and NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 153 1 it piggy-backs also on Naomi's comment. 2 MEMBER SLAVIN: Yes, and I think 3 if you look at DRI, it's anywhere from ten to 4 35 percent of our calories are from protein, 5 and there's no UL for protein, so I think for 6 DRI, as calories go down, percentage of 7 calories from protein have to go up. 8 MEMBER FUKAGAWA: This is Naomi. 9 I did want to make one more comment that, you 10 know, we've placed a lot of emphasis, perhaps, 11 on the EPIC-Oxford Study, and I just checked, 12 and their BMI's were largely from self-report. 13 They did obtain real weights in 14 only about 5,000 of the cohort, but we all 15 know the difficulties we have with self-report 16 of height and weight. So, we'd have to look, 17 interpret that data with some caution, I 18 think. 19 MEMBER SLAVIN: And I think that 20 that comes up because they did try to recruit 21 vegetarians, so they have -- and a lot of that 22 obviously is self-reported in there, too, just NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 154 1 the way the diets are described. 2 All right. Other questions before 3 we move to our food groups? 4 We're going to go through fruits 5 and vegetables, milk and dried beans and peas, 6 and Cheryl is going to take us through fruits 7 and vegetables. 8 MEMBER ACHTERBERG: Okay. I think 9 as I go through this, a lot of the same themes 10 will emerge once again, so you might want to 11 consider contextual factors here. 12 Our first question here is, the 13 general question: Was the relationship 14 between the intake of fruits and vegetables 15 and body weight. In one case cardiovascular 16 outcomes, in another, future presentations, 17 we'll be looking at diabetes type II, and 18 cancer. 19 Our search strategy, I want to 20 emphasize the date range here. June 2004 to 21 June 2009. As we began this, and we looked at 22 the charge to the committee it said to NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 155 1 emphasize the last five years. 2 We were trusting that we would be 3 building on the work that had been done in the 4 former Dietary Guideline Advisory Committee 5 work. 6 The studies here were restricted 7 to adults 19 years and older, and that's 8 because another subcommittee is looking at 9 what happens in a pediatric population. 10 The search included individual 11 studies as well as systematic reviews and 12 meta-analyses, and we looked at the intake of 13 all fruits and vegetables, but did not 14 consider juices. 15 So, for the first question, a 16 relationship between the intake of fruits and 17 vegetables and body weight. The proposed 18 conclusion here is Grade III, limited. 19 Using the current NEL search 20 process, the evidence for an association 21 between increased fruit and vegetable intake 22 and lower body weight is modest, with a trend NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 156 1 towards decreased weight gain over five or 2 more years in middle adulthood. 3 No conclusions can be drawn from 4 the evidence on the efficacy of increased 5 fruit and vegetable consumption in weight loss 6 diets. 7 So, for the review of the 8 evidence, there were 11 studies, three RCT's, 9 three prospective cohort studies, one case 10 control and four cross-sectional studies. 11 In the RCT's, a small weight loss 12 that was usually one to two kilograms were 13 observed over short time periods of less than 14 six weeks. All prospective cohort studies 15 showed a weak inverse relationship between 16 fruit and vegetable consumption and weight 17 gain that was long term, from approximately 18 six to 12 years. 19 There was also an inverse 20 relationship reported in the cross-sectional 21 studies except for one study from China where 22 we didn't see any significant effect, but NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 157 1 again, I think the baseline there had higher 2 fruit and vegetable intakes. 3 Limitations, most of the 4 limitations that were described in the 5 previous section are here as well. It's also 6 very difficult to quantify the amount of 7 fruits and vegetables in any given study 8 because of the various differences in 9 methodology. 10 Shifting to the second question: 11 What is the relationship between the intake of 12 fruits and vegetables and cardiovascular 13 disease? 14 The proposed conclusion in this 15 case is a Grade II, moderate. Using the 16 current NEL search process, there is moderate 17 to strong evidence supporting an inverse 18 relationship between fruit and vegetable 19 consumption and cardiovascular coronary heart 20 disease in the US, in US populations, with 21 larger effects noted above, five fruit and 22 vegetable servings per day. NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 158 1 Looking at the evidence, then, 2 there were ten studies, two meta-analyses, six 3 prospective cohort studies and two case 4 control. 5 The meta-analyses showed increased 6 vegetable intake and increased fruit intakes 7 are independently associated with decreased 8 risk of CVD mortality when the total 9 consumption was over five servings a day. 10 Four prospective cohort studies 11 found positive relationships between fruit and 12 vegetable intake and a decrease in CVD in 13 extreme quintiles -- that's the highest versus 14 the lowest consumption there, and the case 15 control studies showed similar results. 16 Turning now to blood pressure. 17 What is the relationship between the intake of 18 fruits and vegetables and blood pressure? 19 In this case we're proposing a 20 conclusion Grade III, limited. There were 21 very few data. So, using the current NEL 22 search process, there's limited evidence to NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 159 1 suggest any association between fruit and 2 vegetable intake and blood pressure. 3 What did we look at? There were 4 four studies, one prospective cohort study and 5 three cross-sectional studies. The 6 prospective cohort study found no association 7 between the intake of fruits, vegetables, or 8 fruits and vegetables combined and 9 hypertension. 10 Cross-sectional studies provided 11 mixed results. I think all of these are 12 international. One study reported no 13 relationship where that average intake was 14 over five and a half servings per day. 15 One reported an inverse 16 relationship for fruit and vegetable intake 17 and blood pressure. One reported a positive 18 association between fruit and vegetable intake 19 and lower risk of home measured hypertension. 20 Continuing now, blood cholesterol. 21 What is the relationship between the intake 22 of fruits and vegetables and blood NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 160 1 cholesterol? Once again, the proposed 2 conclusion is a Grade III, limited. 3 Using the current NEL search 4 process, the evidence for relationship between 5 fruits and vegetable intake and blood lipids 6 is limited, but appears to show a trend 7 between increased consumption of fruits and 8 vegetables, with lower total and LDL blood 9 cholesterol levels. 10 Review of the evidence. There 11 were only three studies, one trial and two 12 cross-sectional studies. The trial added 13 three servings of cherries per day for 28 14 days, and the impact on plasma lipids. 15 Cross-sectional studies found an 16 inverse association between fruit and 17 vegetable consumption and, as I said before, 18 with total and LDL cholesterol between extreme 19 quintiles. 20 Implications. I think this work 21 is still under review. There are a lot of 22 questions. I think we now want to look NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 161 1 farther back in terms of what the research 2 literature has to offer us, take a longer 3 long-range perspective on that. 4 So, what we've presented today 5 represents what evidence has been collected 6 and reviewed for the last five years. 7 Any questions? 8 MEMBER NICKOLS-RICHARDSON: This 9 is Shelly. Just a quick question just for 10 clarification. In these studies "servings" is 11 related to -- 12 MEMBER ACHTERBERG: Cup 13 equivalent. 14 MEMBER NICKOLS-RICHARDSON: Cup 15 equivalents. What are the servings? 16 MEMBER ACHTERBERG: You raise one 17 of the major limitations. I really struggled 18 with this because different studies approach 19 it different ways. 20 Europe tends to approach vegetable 21 intake according to weight measures by gram. 22 Here in this country we're using cup measures. NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 162 1 Some of the Asian studies -- it's something 2 different again. 3 So, a serving does not equal a 4 serving, does not equal a serving as you're 5 trying to compare studies one to another. So, 6 that's one of several limitations here. 7 Other limitations go with the 8 difference in diets altogether. For example, 9 one study from Serbia, the main vegetable 10 consumed were onions. In Asia, it's a 11 different set of vegetables. In the US, 12 another set of vegetables. 13 So, I think one of the major 14 research questions and implications are 15 whether, as we consider higher intakes of 16 fruit and vegetables whatever effects are 17 found, is that due to a replacement? 18 In other words, the question is: 19 Are fruits and vegetables acting as an asset 20 or out of a deficit model, that if there's 21 more of something, there's less of something, 22 and we see an effect that way. NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 163 1 Or, are the fruits and vegetables, 2 in and of themselves, contributing something. 3 And I might add there, are they contributing 4 something independent of fiber, because 5 another confounding factor here, as we look at 6 the evidence, is oftentimes those two terms 7 are used interchangeably, and clearly fruits 8 and vegetables are more than fiber packages. 9 So, it ultimately gets down to 10 food matrix questions, or perhaps even diet 11 matrix question. 12 CHAIR VAN HORN: Eric. 13 MEMBER RIMM: I wonder -- this is 14 Eric Rimm. This is one of those cases where 15 you had to make tough decisions at the 16 beginning of this in terms of which questions 17 to ask. 18 You obviously did not ask fruits 19 and vegetables and cancer because there's a 20 recent report on it that you can probably 21 point to. 22 But I wonder if it's, at this NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 164 1 point, now that you've gone through some of 2 this is that you may want to trim your 3 questions, is that the fruits and vegetables 4 and blood pressure, maybe there's not enough 5 new, and we need to just sort of fall back on 6 what was there and say what was there is -- 7 there's not -- you know, there's not enough 8 new, and maybe the weight change is also 9 because it's so difficult to measure weight 10 change and the new data are not substantially 11 greater than what's there, and maybe, instead 12 of making it seem a little bit more vague and 13 confusing, we should just fall back on the 14 ones where the answers are the strongest. 15 MEMBER ACHTERBERG: Well, I think 16 we still have to look at that literature 17 before we decide that for sure, but the 18 curious thing is these results don't 19 necessarily align with some of the older 20 results. 21 MEMBER RIMM: Yes. This is Larry 22 Appel. Yes, this is one where the prior data NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 165 1 are going to have an impact. I mean, most 2 people -- the DASH clinical trial again, there 3 was a third arm that was fruits and 4 vegetables, and that significantly reduced 5 blood pressure, well-controlled study, 150 6 people, you know, versus control. 7 So, you know that -- and then 8 there was another study, I believe, by John's 9 -- the reason I know this is I was in your 10 position five years ago. I reviewed the fruit 11 and vegetable literature, so I'm glad -- 12 So, I think that -- but, you know, 13 there are not a huge number of studies, so 14 you're not going to push this up to -- I mean, 15 I think there is a reasonable argument, but 16 it's also in the context of potassium, the 17 reality, because you have supplement trials, 18 then you have some food group trials, and 19 together the argument is reasonable, though. 20 But in terms of the other issue 21 that I wanted to raise, I think you need to 22 divide cardiovascular into stroke and CHD NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 166 1 because if I remember correctly when I did 2 this, the evidence on stroke was actually 3 pretty decent with almost all of the co -- not 4 all, but most of the cohort studies showing a, 5 you know, an inverse relationship. 6 You know, I just looked it up. It 7 was like seven or eight out of ten cohort 8 studies of higher fruits and vegetables 9 associated with reduced stroke and again, it's 10 consistent with this blood pressure-potassium 11 hypothesis. 12 For CHD, it only comes out when 13 you do the meta-analysis, you know, there 14 might be one or two studies, but more then 15 tend to be, you know, negative. So, I think 16 you need to -- they are -- they're different, 17 I think. 18 MEMBER ACHTERBERG: I wanted to 19 follow up, too, Eric, because cancer and type 20 II is still being done, so it's not like we're 21 not -- yes, so they will be done. 22 And also, I wanted to just NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 167 1 mention, Larry, just this -- when we start 2 with this process, the NEL process, I think it 3 really, you know, deciding how far to go back 4 is a real problem. 5 You know, and because -- and the 6 other thing I worry about is sometimes in 7 these studies, unless somebody keyworded 8 fruits and vegetables, they won't come up 9 unless you know them. They are not going to 10 get onto this review because that's not how 11 they were keyworded. 12 So, that's a concern, that there 13 might be data out there that we don't pick up 14 in this type of a search unless somebody, you 15 know, knows about it and brings it forward. 16 MEMBER APPEL: The one thing that 17 we might do, and I don't know if the NEL 18 people do this, is that there are, you know, 19 seminal studies, you know, so you can, you 20 know, with the fruit and vegetable area say, 21 okay, most people really do know about these 22 one or two studies, and if you do like, you NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 168 1 know, linked -- linked, you know, related 2 articles or something like that, you might be 3 able to pull up some of the ones that you just 4 described that wouldn't, you know, be captured 5 in your search. 6 MEMBER NELSON: This is Mim. I 7 agree. I'm concerned, because the DASH study 8 didn't make it into the search, and so -- 9 MEMBER ACHTERBERG: The date -- 10 the date would not -- 11 MEMBER NELSON: Because of the 12 date. And so, again, it's a time issue, and 13 we've got to be careful that we're -- we can't 14 come up with an implement -- you know, a 15 conclusion and grade based on just a certain 16 number of years when there's been good data 17 beforehand that's not being considered. 18 And we -- just it's a -- we have 19 to be very careful. I think that would be 20 erroneous. 21 MEMBER ACHTERBERG: I just want to 22 thrown in hindsight is 20/20. I think this NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 169 1 was a careful, systematic review following the 2 guidelines we as a committee all agreed on. 3 In hindsight, because these 4 results didn't necessarily align with earlier 5 results, now questions are being raised. Now 6 it's being asked should we go back for a 7 longer-term review. 8 But let's be clear about where we 9 are, why we're there, and the quality of the 10 work that got us here. 11 MEMBER RIMM: I don't -- this is 12 Eric Rimm. I don't think anybody would 13 question what you've done and that this is a 14 thorough job. 15 I think the issue is that, for all 16 of our things, I think ultimately what we're 17 doing, we're trying to summarize, we're 18 essentially bean-counting the number of 19 studies -- excuse the pun but, I mean, the 20 blood pressure is -- you have four studies, 21 one's prospective and three are cross22 sectional. NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 170 1 So, you have three cross-sectional 2 studies where people are diagnosed with high 3 blood pressure. They may change their diet, 4 so they compare that result with, you know, 5 the many, many studies that came before. 6 It's not -- it shouldn't be just a 7 matter of bean-counting. We have to look at 8 the quality and decide if it really should 9 impact our decision based on the new evidence. 10 New studies are not always the best. 11 MEMBER ACHTERBERG: Absolutely. 12 And we also need to ensure that we maintain a 13 systematic approach. That's what I'm trying 14 to say. 15 MEMBER PI-SUNYER: Yes, that's the 16 -- this is Xavier. That's the danger of your 17 suggestion, Larry, that if you go back and you 18 know two studies, that's not systematic. 19 MEMBER APPEL: No, no, no. That 20 wasn't what I was saying. I was saying you do 21 the systematic, but that gets you only part of 22 the package. I mean, most systematic reviews NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 171 1 actually have, you know, you search multiple 2 databases, but then you also have seminal 3 studies and you use those to either reference 4 check or use those as related articles to 5 identify ones that weren't captured. It's not 6 only -- it's more global. 7 MEMBER NELSON: Yes, and it helps 8 come up with different search terms that you 9 haven't thought about -- 10 MEMBER APPEL: Well, yes. 11 MEMBER NELSON: -- which is the 12 key, and then you're systematic. I mean, 13 we've done that with some other questions. 14 You know, we've come up with why didn't it 15 pick up these couple studies, and then you 16 realize because of a couple of search terms or 17 a date. 18 CHAIR VAN HORN: There is another 19 issue that relates to the assessment 20 methodology, and we're all aware of the, you 21 know, limitations of diet assessment, not only 22 in terms of the method used, i.e., food NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 172 1 frequency, questionnaires, they tend to group 2 things together which, of course, limits, you 3 know, what you can do with those data. 4 But, also the fact earlier studies 5 were more nutrient-focused and it's only been 6 more recently that we started looking at food 7 groups or foods themselves and food patterns 8 and things of that sort. 9 So I think, you know, we're trying 10 to, you know, synergies all of these different 11 factors and maximize the benefit of current as 12 well as previous studies that allow us to 13 perhaps look at some of these questions using 14 new approaches, but not, you know, forget that 15 some of those were not created or developed in 16 a way that allows us to have perfect 17 assessment ability and, you know, the method 18 used may not allow that. So, we just have to 19 be careful. 20 MEMBER SLAVIN: Other fruit and 21 vegetable questions before we move to milk? 22 And I appreciate your comments, Linda, because NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 173 1 it's like when we did this, these searches, we 2 decided to go with the food groups pretty much 3 early on because we thought they would create 4 some discussion. 5 And the studies weren't really 6 designed to do that. So, we're looking for 7 milk, milk products, fruits and vegetables, 8 this is what comes up. 9 So, background on milk and milk 10 products. We know they are a source of many 11 nutrients. They vary from fat-free to full 12 fat. Calorie content is going to vary. You 13 know, fat-free -- or get rid of saturated fat, 14 but you have protein, calcium. 15 The relationship between milk 16 intake and body weight is controversial. The 17 role of calcium intake in obesity and 18 adiposity has also been debated, so there's a 19 lot of literature in this area. 20 It does tend to fall out, is it 21 food, milk -- food-related, or is it nutrient22 related. Calcium, we're going to talk about NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 174 1 bone health, the importance of milk and milk 2 products as calcium-rich foods. 3 Cardiovascular disease and 4 saturated fat, we kind of move over into that 5 area just because most of the searches we did 6 on just dairy -- milk and dairy products, milk 7 products, so fat is typically not controlled 8 in our searching here. 9 So, low-fat dairy products 10 included in the DASH Diet, here are some 11 examples of where different dairy products are 12 included in diets and I'm not sure we're going 13 to always pick those things up. 14 So, our question has to do with 15 what is the relationship between intake of 16 milk and milk products and these end points, 17 body weight, bone health, cardiovascular 18 outcomes, metabolic syndrome, type II 19 diabetes. 20 We did go back to 2004 and this 21 was because in Section 6 of 2005 Dietary 22 Guidelines there was a search on milk and milk NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 175 1 products. So, we did not go past. Just like 2 the fruit and vegetable which was also in the 3 2005, we went back, started 2004 to July 2009. 4 For children two to 18, for all 5 outcomes except body weight, and this is 6 looked at in another subcommittee, so we're 7 not going to include that, and then adults 19 8 and older for all other outcomes we're talking 9 about. 10 In this case we -- this is what's 11 hard in our literature that when you include 12 systematic review or meta-analysis, you don't 13 want to double count them. So, trying to 14 figure out what's already been counted, in 15 this we included individual studies as well as 16 systematic reviews and meta-analyses, and then 17 if it was already counted in a meta-analysis, 18 we tried to exclude it. So, that was really 19 difficult to do. 20 And I can see like for Xav, the 21 nice thing about excluding the meta-analysis 22 and the systematic reviews is you can, you NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 176 1 know, do all your own analysis and not be 2 worried about double counting. 3 First question: What's the 4 relationship between the intake of milk and 5 milk products and body weight? It's a Grade 6 I, strong. There is little convincing 7 evidence that milk and milk products have any 8 unique role in regulation of body weight and 9 body adiposity. 10 So, we'll go through the review of 11 the evidence. Eighteen studies, one 12 systematic review, one randomized control 13 trial, four prospective cohort studies, eight 14 cross-sectional, three studies with energy 15 intake as an outcome and one study in 16 pregnancy, and this conclusion is supported by 17 the systematic review and intervention study 18 and four prospective cohort trials. 19 Any questions on body weight? 20 There's been a lot of interest in it, calcium, 21 milk as, you know, particularly linked to 22 lower body weights, but I think the literature NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 177 1 is quite clear, there's nothing uniquely 2 calcium or dairy product, milk product that 3 has any difference there. 4 Bone health -- 5 MEMBER CLEMENS: This is Rog. 6 Just real quick. 7 MEMBER SLAVIN: Sure. 8 MEMBER CLEMENS: This is rather 9 intriguing, frankly, because there have been a 10 lot of studies on fractions of milk relative 11 to body weight and weight management, and 12 obviously in this type of research, if you 13 look at the full food to your comment, Linda, 14 that that relationship doesn't pop up in the 15 most recent information. 16 MEMBER SLAVIN: Yes. There are, 17 you know, a lot of components for sure. There 18 are studies that people have looked at that, 19 and it doesn't -- in this approach we're 20 looking at milk and milk products. 21 So, what is the relationship 22 between the intake of milk and milk products NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 178 1 and bone health? This is a -- we had a big 2 discussion on this. This is a very top area. 3 Proposed conclusion, intake of 4 milk and milk products is associated with 5 improvements in bone health in children, and 6 we've given it a moderate, Grade II. 7 Adults, the results in adult 8 trials are more mixed and there's 9 inconsistency. There's an inconsistent 10 support for the role of milk and milk products 11 on bone health. 12 We've struggled with this grade 13 right now. It's -- we think it's a moderate, 14 because -- well, we can go through the 15 literature and we're going to have more 16 discussion about this. 17 Review of the evidence, nine 18 articles, one systematic review to meta19 analysis, three trials, one longitudinal, one 20 case control, one cross-sectional study. 21 A study reported that children who 22 are milk avoiders have poorer markers of bone NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 179 1 health. There is a meta-analysis of this 2 question in adult populations that's less 3 clear. 4 There are some concerns about just 5 measures of bone health, so we can go down 6 that path and talk about that, but one review 7 concluded that there is weak evidence of a 8 protective capacity of milk and milk products 9 on bone health. 10 Another meta-analysis concluded 11 that a low intake of calcium, as judged by 12 intake of milk does not confer a substantial 13 increase in fracture risk, and the 14 intervention studies are supportive of a role 15 for milk and milk products in bone health. 16 So, there are quite a few intervention studies 17 that show a role. 18 I guess we want to -- we'll go 19 through all the milk, and then we'll take 20 questions. Milk and milk products, 21 cardiovascular disease, what's the 22 relationship between intake of milk and milk NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 180 1 products and cardiovascular disease, and a 2 Grade II, moderate. 3 Recent studies find that intake of 4 milk and milk products is protective against 5 cardiovascular disease. This is based on 6 three articles, one systematic review, one 7 systematic review with a meta-analysis, and 8 one case control study. 9 Some of the outcomes that were 10 reported, stroke, myocardial infarction, 11 ischemic heart disease, acute coronary 12 syndrome, an inverse association was 13 consistently reported. 14 Metabolic syndrome, what's the 15 relationship between intake of milk and milk 16 products and metabolic syndrome, Grade III, 17 limited milk and milk product consumption is 18 not generally linked to metabolic syndrome and 19 may even be protective in certain population 20 groups. 21 Evidence, five articles, one 22 systematic review, one prospective cohort NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 181 1 study and three cross-sectionals. The meta2 analysis showed a reduction in risk associated 3 with the highest level of milk consumption. 4 Dairy consumption was not 5 associated with any metabolic variables in an 6 elderly Dutch population. 7 In a French study, intake of dairy 8 products was associated with lower probability 9 of insulin resistance and NHANES data, looking 10 at that data set that they found that each 11 serving of dairy products increased risk of 12 metabolic syndrome by eight percent among men, 13 no significant associations between whole 14 milk, low-fat milk or skim milk and metabolic 15 syndrome were observed. 16 Blood pressure. What's the 17 relationship between milk and milk products 18 and blood pressure? Grade III, limited. 19 Using the current NEL search process, there is 20 limited evidence that supports a relationship 21 between intake of milk and milk products and 22 blood pressure. NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 182 1 This 13 articles, one systematic 2 review, one trial, six prospective cohort 3 studies, five cross-sectional. The systematic 4 review concluded there is an inverse 5 association between intake of dairy products 6 and hypertension. 7 The results from the six 8 prospective studies reviewed suggest a more 9 mixed result with four not reporting a 10 relationship. And this area is complicated by 11 types of milk products consumed, confounding 12 with calcium intake, relationship of blood 13 pressure to weight loss. 14 Blood cholesterol. What's the 15 relationship between intake of milk and milk 16 products and blood cholesterol? Grade II, 17 moderate. Intake of milk and milk products in 18 recent studies does not show increases in 19 total blood cholesterol, but may be linked to 20 increased HDL cholesterol. 21 Three articles, one randomized 22 trial, one prospective, cross-sectional. In NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 183 1 the dairy product feeding study intakes of 2 milk product was associated with lower blood 3 cholesterol, but that was also associated with 4 weight loss in the study. 5 The Dutch elderly study, baseline 6 dairy consumption was not associated with 7 change in lipid levels over 6.4 years, and 8 NHANES data set found that in women more 9 frequent cheese consumption was associated 10 with higher HDL cholesterol, lower LDL, while 11 in men more frequent cheese consumption was 12 associated with higher BMI, waist 13 circumference, HDL and LDL cholesterol. 14 Diabetes. What's the relationship 15 between intake of milk and milk products and 16 type II diabetes. Grade II, moderate. Recent 17 systematic review with a meta-analysis 18 relative risk for type II diabetes was 19 estimated to be ten percent lower in people 20 who had a high milk intake. 21 One systematic review with meta22 analysis -- meta-analysis included four NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 184 1 prospective cohort studies and this relative 2 risk was estimated to be ten percent lower in 3 people with high milk intake. 4 All right. Milk and milk product 5 questions. Comments. 6 Eric. 7 MEMBER RIMM: Hi. This is Eric 8 Rimm. I mean, again, I don't know the studies 9 that have led to this, but the fact that 10 there's Grade II evidence that higher milk 11 consumption is associated with potentially 12 increased HDL cholesterol worries me. 13 Is that -- I don't know if that's 14 driven by just the fact that this is only data 15 from the last five years, or that we've -- it 16 does not take into account different types of 17 fat, but obviously, if you can compare it to 18 what's going on in the fat subcommittee where 19 we're looking at different types of fat and 20 how they impact HDL or LDL cholesterol, I 21 guess this would be an opposite conclusion. 22 MEMBER SLAVIN: Well, I think you NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 185 1 have got to remember, too, we're asking the 2 food group question here. Milk and milk 3 products. So -- and it's a broad milk and 4 milk product question, so we don't get -- 5 MEMBER RIMM: So that -- well, can 6 I make -- okay. Well, maybe the question is, 7 is the Grade II based on -- is Grade II -- 8 that's a pretty strong statement. It's strong 9 enough to have a single trial and a single 10 prospective cohort study to make that 11 statement. 12 The prospective study was not 13 associated with -- I don't want to challenge 14 you. You guys obviously know this stuff much 15 more than I do. It just struck me as -- this 16 is very different from what we have been 17 talking about in the fat subcommittee. 18 I know, I realize it's fat, and 19 milk and milk products are different things. 20 The cross-sectional studies from NHANES, which 21 is based on a single 24-hour recall of milk. 22 MEMBER SLAVIN: Yes. Yes, I think NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 186 1 the NHANES -- right. 2 MEMBER RIMM: Which would trouble 3 me, if you're going to base a Grade II 4 conclusion on a single 24-hour recall where 5 you're equating it with a biomarker. I don't 6 know the trial, so I guess the issues is, if 7 the trial is a fantastic trial and it's proven 8 it's long-term and it's NIH-funded, then I 9 would be very happy with that conclusion. 10 But I would be worried about where 11 this could go. If this is such a strong 12 conclusion, this would lead to a Guideline 13 that -- to increase HDL cholesterol, the 14 strongest thing to do would be to increase 15 milk consumption and milk products. 16 MEMBER SLAVIN: Well, you know, -- 17 yes. Each -- you see, there's a lot of 18 questions on milk and milk products with 19 different end points. So, you know, in doing 20 the search, that's what came up, because 21 that's what we were looking for. 22 And so we're searching milk and NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 187 1 milk products, and then these different search 2 criteria that came in. So, I think that the 3 rating with this is difficult. 4 MEMBER RIMM: Yes. No, I agree. 5 MEMBER SLAVIN: You know, and 6 deciding what's a II or a III with the food 7 groups now. So, I think we could discuss that 8 for sure. 9 MEMBER PI-SUNYER: This is Xavier. 10 I wonder if this is -- you know, it's -- what 11 this is bring up is that five years aren't 12 enough, and we're running into trouble here 13 with a lot of them, you know, where you have 14 one RCT or no RCT and three cross-sectional, 15 and we're trying to come to conclusions on the 16 basis of very little evidence. 17 MEMBER ACHTERBERG: And it's a 18 changing food supply. And we need to be 19 careful about that. The milk and milk 20 products is another example. So, as you're 21 looking at the relationship between certain 22 lipids derived from milk and milk products, NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 188 1 the profile of what people have been consuming 2 has changed pretty dramatically. 3 And people have decreased, a total 4 decrease in milk and milk products, but people 5 who are using them, many, many more are using 6 nonfat, low-fat, fluid milk, yogurts, and 7 other kinds of milk products. 8 So, I think it is useful to have 9 the longer perspective but at the same time we 10 have to be very careful to balance that longer 11 view against changes in the food supply. 12 MEMBER APPEL: Just a question -- 13 just to follow up on that, the -- we say milk 14 products. There actually have been sort of a 15 -- several studies dealing with sort of 16 products that have peptides from dairy. Was 17 that what you mean by milk products or are you 18 thinking about yogurt? 19 MEMBER SLAVIN: No. We're just 20 thinking about foods. So, we didn't get into 21 -- 22 MEMBER APPEL: No, but those are NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 189 1 actually -- I mean, I think some of them 2 actually -- 3 (Off-mic comment.) 4 MEMBER SLAVIN: Yes. We like whey 5 protein, milk peptides. We did not -- that 6 would not -- 7 MEMBER APPEL: So, that's not 8 included, okay. 9 MEMBER SLAVIN: -- that would not 10 come up in the search. 11 MEMBER PEREZ-ESCAMILLA: This is 12 Rafael. Have you looked at the dietary 13 patterns comparing high versus medium versus 14 low dairy consumers? Because, I think, you 15 know, it's -- I understand why you are looking 16 at a food group, but the food group falls 17 within a dietary pattern, and it's really 18 difficult, I think, for me at least, to make 19 sense of all of these massive work that you 20 have done without understanding more what are 21 the characteristics in terms of the rest of 22 the diet of those. NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 190 1 MEMBER SLAVIN: Linda, go ahead. 2 CHAIR VAN HORN: Right. I think 3 that the point you're raising, Rafael, is 4 something that we talked about earlier today 5 also as being one of those cross-cutting 6 issues that go back to the discussion we just 7 had about modeling. 8 For example, we know that in 9 individuals, both adults and children who 10 consume more dairy products, more milk 11 products, their intakes of not only calcium 12 but magnesium and vitamin D and a variety of 13 other nutrients that are concerns, are 14 enhanced because of the nature of the food 15 that they are consuming. 16 I suspect that, you know, as we 17 continue through this -- and again, this is 18 all preliminary, so just to remind our 19 listening audience as well as everybody here, 20 you know, we're raising this today to reveal 21 the level of discussion that we have going on, 22 but there are absolutely no confirmatory NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 191 1 statements being made here yet. 2 I think the other thing to recall 3 is, even a study like DASH, for example, which 4 did involve low-fat dairy products and 5 including that as far as its relationship to 6 blood pressure being a risk factor for 7 cardiovascular disease, I think some of these 8 issues really need further deliberation in 9 terms of, you know, is it a cause and effect 10 or is it an association, is it a substitution 11 effect, what is it that we're actually looking 12 at here. 13 But, you know, without a doubt, we 14 won't have the answers to some of these 15 questions on the basis of hard evidence 16 because the studies were not designed that 17 way. 18 Again, we're trying to make 19 implications out of data that exists and try 20 to tease, you know, those kinds of issues 21 apart. 22 Mim. NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 192 1 MEMBER NELSON: This is Mim. One 2 following up on that, I really think that we 3 have to be careful as a committee with these 4 single food group and nutrient sort of 5 outcomes because I think where we have moved 6 to, thanks to a lot of research over the last 7 five to ten years is more of the patterns. 8 And I think that -- that we're 9 going to -- we may stumble on each other, with 10 our different committees, different questions, 11 because we're going to come up with one thing 12 when you look at it one way, but you're going 13 to look at it another, if you look at the 14 pattern. 15 And I think that there may be 16 reasons to tone down the single food group 17 piece and talk more, you know, beef up -- no 18 pun -- well, I shouldn't use "beef up," but 19 you know, strengthen the food pattern piece 20 and the modeling piece because of the obvious 21 -- it's -- whether it's the deficit model or 22 the addition model, we don't know, because NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 193 1 diet is a funny thing. 2 And I just wouldn't -- I mean, 3 it's just sort of an overall -- I'm nervous 4 about the single food group piece. And to 5 that end, in terms of bone, having done a lot 6 of research in the area of milk and dairy 7 products and bone, I think one of the issues 8 that we have weaker evidence is just because 9 in the last -- all the best studies were done 10 in the Eighties and Nineties around this, and 11 all of the really new stuff on milk and milk 12 intake has been more in the, you know, the 13 lipids and, you know, it's like there's a lot 14 more work that's happening, so you have 15 stronger evidence just because of the nature 16 of the trials that have been done. 17 And, you know, they're classic 18 trials. And I, you know, just reading over 19 again, looking at the guidelines that were 20 before we should update -- I think, I really 21 feel like we should be updating the literature 22 searches here, not necessarily coming up with NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 194 1 different conclusions because -- anyway, I 2 just think we have to be careful, because the 3 bone data, even though the diets change, it's 4 pretty strong on the RCT's, and I know there's 5 sort of a bi-modal approach to bone and 6 calcium, but anyway -- 7 MEMBER SLAVIN: Other dairy, milk 8 and milk product questions? 9 I completely agree with you, Mim. 10 You know, and I think last time these 11 questions were done last, and we decided to do 12 them first because we wanted to do them with 13 the NEL process. 14 So, I think they will have to 15 circle back and come back together and not be 16 in conflict. 17 All right. Our next group of 18 questions are dried beans and peas. We know 19 they are important sources of protein, fiber, 20 minerals and vitamins in the US diet. 21 I want to mention that these were 22 not done in 2005, so we were starting from no NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 195 1 review in the Dietary Guidelines book. 2 Typically, when you look at 3 consumers, they don't consume much beans and 4 peas in the daily diet in the US. We have 5 good data on fiber linking to lower body 6 weight, so we might think that intake of beans 7 and peas might also be linked to lower body 8 weight. 9 We also know that dried beans and 10 peas are concentrated sources of soluble fiber 11 which is known to lower serum lipids. 12 Vegetable protein from legumes are stated that 13 it also lowers serum lipids. We have an 14 existing health claim in the US for soy 15 protein and lowering serum lipids. 16 And a little bit on soluble fiber 17 slowing absorption of carbohydrates and lower 18 glycemic index of foods, and in the original 19 studies on glycemic index, intake of legumes 20 was associated with the lowest glucose 21 response. 22 So, it's possible that dried beans NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 196 1 and peas could show promise for use in blood 2 glucose control. 3 So, that's the background. So, 4 the questions we asked: What is the 5 relationship between intake of dried beans and 6 peas and body weight, cardiovascular outcomes 7 and type II diabetes. 8 We, in this -- since this was not 9 searched in the 2005 Dietary Guidelines, we 10 went back to January of 2000 and, as we've 11 discussed today, that may not be back far 12 enough, but that's where we started. 13 Ages, children and adults, two 14 years and older. What we did in this, we 15 looked at individual studies and then we also 16 looked at systematic reviews and meta-analyses 17 were included in the review. And then if the 18 individual study was included in the meta19 analysis, then we did not review it twice. 20 First question: What is the 21 relationship between intake of dried beans and 22 peas and body weight? Grade III, limited. NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 197 1 There's very little data that intake of dried 2 beans and peas is related to body weight. 3 The evidence that we reviewed, 4 nine articles, one meta-analysis, two 5 systematic reviews, four trials, one 6 prospective cohort study, one cross-sectional 7 study. 8 In the randomized trials diet 9 treatments with beans and peas are generally 10 no more successful in weight loss than the 11 controller, the comparison treatment. So, the 12 studies that were done, they didn't -- beans 13 and peas did not look to be uniquely better at 14 weight loss. 15 The cross-sectional analyses 16 suggest that bean-consumers had better overall 17 nutrient intakes and lower body weights and 18 waist circumference. So, there is some data, 19 cross-sectional data that suggests that people 20 that consume more beans, dried beans and peas, 21 are lower body weights, but in general, 22 there's hardly any intake of beans and peas in NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 198 1 the US prospective cohort trials. 2 So, it's difficult to see if it's 3 linked to disease outcomes, because intake is 4 so minor. 5 Cardiovascular: What's the 6 relationship between intake of dried beans and 7 peas and cardiovascular. Also a Grade III, 8 limited. 9 Soluble fiber content of beans 10 contributes to lipid lowering benefits. There 11 is limited evidence that dried beans and peas 12 have any unique abilities to lower serum 13 lipids, so there's a theoretical, but there's 14 not much there. 15 Thirteen articles, one meta16 analysis, six trials, three prospective cohort 17 studies, one longitudinal, one case control 18 and one cross-sectional. 19 In intervention studies, dried 20 beans and peas lowered serum lipids, as 21 expected, based on their soluble fiber 22 content. So, in these studies they are NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 199 1 typically fed, and the predicted amount of 2 lipid-lowering is seen based on their high 3 content of soluble fiber. 4 Soy studies. Soy may lower lipids 5 in subjects -- hypercholesterolemic subjects, 6 but doesn't lower serum lipids in subjects 7 with normal serum cholesterol. 8 Then just this -- if you look at 9 the prospective cohort studies, the intake of 10 dried beans and peas is -- and soy all are 11 really low. 12 And as we go through this I want 13 to mention that we did separate out soy in 14 these studies, just because there's a lot of 15 research with soy that has been done since 16 2000. 17 Dried beans and peas, type II, 18 what's the relationship between intake of 19 dried beans and peas and type II diabetes, 20 limited. Their consumption of legumes may be 21 inversely associated with risk of type II 22 diabetes. NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 200 1 There's very little data, one 2 prospective cohort study, total legume 3 consumption and consumption of soybeans and 4 other legumes were each associated with 5 decreased risk in type II diabetes. 6 So, any beans and peas questions 7 before we move to a list of other things that 8 we are working on? 9 Yes, Tom. 10 MEMBER PEARSON: As a major source 11 of protein for vegans, is this confounded by 12 this group being overrepresented in the 13 consumer groups? 14 MEMBER SLAVIN: Ask me that again. 15 I'm confused. 16 MEMBER PEARSON: I would imagine 17 the highest consumption of dried -- the 18 highest consumers of dried peas and beans, I 19 would imagine, as a protein source, would be 20 from vegetarians or vegans. 21 I'm just wondering if there was a 22 confounding of the relationship with some of NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 201 1 these with that group that had a lot of other 2 things going on. 3 MEMBER SLAVIN: Yes, and I think 4 there is such low consumptions in the 5 prospective studies that you have hardly 6 anybody. You know, if you look at protein 7 quality of beans and legumes, even though they 8 have fairly high protein content, their net 9 protein utilization is actually pretty low. 10 It's one of the least digestible 11 proteins, depending on how you cook it, but -- 12 I think we wanted to include this just 13 because, trying to be responsive of interest 14 in more vegetarian eating patterns and to see 15 what kind of data is out there on health 16 benefits. 17 Cheryl. 18 MEMBER ACHTERBERG: But I'm glad 19 you mentioned that we did this analysis 20 separating the soy from the beans and peas 21 because the earlier comments we had about 22 dietary patterns, people who eat a lot of soy NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 202 1 don't necessarily eat dried beans and peas, 2 and a lot of the folks who eat a lot of dried 3 beans and peas don't eat soy. 4 And they may work quite 5 differently. And certainly the way they are 6 used in the diet are -- you know, it's a 7 different pattern of usage. 8 So, I think that distinction is 9 important, although it's still hard for us to 10 draw very many conclusions. 11 CHAIR VAN HORN: Rafael. 12 MEMBER PEREZ-ESCAMILLA: This is 13 Rafael. In terms of the soybean studies, did 14 you -- and lipid profiles, did you identify 15 randomized control trials? 16 MEMBER SLAVIN: Yes. 17 MEMBER PEREZ-ESCAMILLA: Okay. 18 And did they actually use soybean foods or did 19 they use soy protein isolates? 20 MEMBER SLAVIN: Yes. Most of them 21 used soy protein isolates. 22 MEMBER PEREZ-ESCAMILLA: And my NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 203 1 understanding is that when you translate that 2 concentration into the actual food intake, 3 into actual soy intake, that people would have 4 -- would need to have, it's pretty large. 5 Right? 6 MEMBER SLAVIN: Yes. It's like 25 7 grams of soy protein to significantly lower 8 cholesterol. So, to get a health claim, you 9 have to have 6.25 grams in your -- but, you 10 know, tofu, there's a lot of things, soy 11 flour, that can get there. 12 So, you know, there are foods out 13 there but, you're right. Most of the studies 14 that were done on concentrated soy proteins. 15 In hyperlipidemics, yes. 16 Larry. 17 MEMBER APPEL: Yes. These are more 18 questions -- I mean, comments, questions that 19 are generic rather than to your group, but I 20 listened to you and I'm getting sleepless 21 trying to figure out how you're going to get 22 all this done plus update the thing. NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 204 1 And then I also take that in the 2 context of -- I mean, there are 11 more, and 3 each of those is actually in multiple parts. 4 And then earlier on we had a discussion that 5 in February we're supposed to go through all 6 our conclusions and we said there are 180 7 questions. 8 That means that if we have 16 9 hours, we're going to finalize every hour 11 10 conclusions. And I just think that we have to 11 really trim our sails and focus on the things 12 that are most likely to affect the Guidelines, 13 and I'm worried that -- and I think I 14 mentioned this before, that I'm really worried 15 that we are -- some of these questions, I 16 mean, are just not going to change the 17 Guidelines, because we, you know, we might be 18 relying on gut instinct, but we know that the 19 literature isn't there to support something 20 major, and so why are we, you know, wasting 21 staff time, our time on this. So, the 22 narrowing it, I think is really important. NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 205 1 The second thing has to do with, I 2 think, come out, and I don't -- I think that 3 you’ve done a great job. I don't think it's 4 sort of shooting the messenger to say this 5 issue about how to deal with truncating the 6 literature searches is huge, and affects all 7 the committees. 8 And I think we're not dealing with 9 it in a systematic way, and I think that 10 unless -- I think we can't leave this meeting 11 unless we, you know, have guidance for you, 12 for my -- for our group. 13 I think we dealt with it 14 differently, how to deal with, you know, the 15 pre -- you know, before this NEL process, and 16 because it could also, again, waste your time. 17 And I'm wondering how we do this 18 because, you know, I look at our schedule and 19 it's -- you know, it's dense with subcommittee 20 presentations, and yet we really need a very, 21 you know, procedure-oriented discussion about 22 how to deal with this evidence and grade it, NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 206 1 and at least have tentative conclusions. 2 So, I'm just -- you know, maybe we 3 should -- some of us should just stay here and 4 just think about the options and come back 5 tomorrow, you know. Better use -- you know, 6 better -- I don't know. I'm just throwing 7 that out. 8 MEMBER SLAVIN: I think, took, 9 that we want everything to be documented, so 10 that's why we used the NEL process. If we 11 bring in papers from before, if the 2005 12 Dietary Guidelines, if that's in there, we can 13 build on that, and then just say from this 14 point on. 15 But if we're bringing in new 16 things, then we want to make sure that it's 17 been presented and it's -- people can get it 18 from the library, so it's all, you know, 19 available for everybody to see where the data 20 is and what we based our conclusions on. 21 So, I agree with you that we want 22 to make sure that that's done systematically NEAL R. 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(202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 207 1 so people -- 2 MEMBER APPEL: And consistently. 3 CHAIR VAN HORN: There's another 4 thing to keep in mind, I think, as we've 5 discussed in terms of some of our sub -- 6 scientific review committee calls, that one of 7 the beauties of this approach is that each of 8 the subcommittees has a committed, dedicated 9 group of experts deliberating on these 10 questions. 11 And we, as a total team, rely on 12 the expertise of these individuals to make 13 some of those investigations and determine 14 whether preexisting data are so solid and so 15 complete that the idea of going back over 16 them, just to say that we did, really, as you 17 said, Larry, is not necessarily the best use 18 of our time because, you know, there are such 19 concrete, you know, data, suggesting that this 20 is solid evidence, that we need to move ahead. 21 Whereas, in other cases, as we've 22 just discussed today, and especially things NEAL R. 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(202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 208 1 that have come up since the 2005 Guidelines, 2 once again, you know, there are some 3 subcommittees that are dealing with that. 4 So, even though I think we all 5 recognize the value of trying to standardize 6 our approaches to this, there will be 7 variability, subcommittee-to-subcommittee 8 because of the data that exists, because of 9 technology that has changed since then, 10 perhaps, where there are perhaps more 11 objective data now to be able to look at that 12 didn't exist prior. 13 You know, it's all those kinds of 14 questions, but if we all deliberated on every 15 one of these collectively, we would be here 16 until 2020. 17 So, I think we have to, you know, 18 while I agree totally that we should do as 19 much as we can to standardize, we also have to 20 use some judgment here in making some of those 21 decisions within subcommittees, and then 22 prioritize those factors. NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 209 1 MEMBER APPEL: Yes. I think that 2 -- this is Larry again. I think the main 3 thing I'm finding, really concerned about, is 4 this grades of evidence where you do a five5 year search and you give a Grade III when the 6 best studies were done, you know, 15, 20 years 7 ago, and we know that, you know. 8 And that really worries me. And 9 we had, I think, some discussion in the 10 electrolytes committee that we would apply the 11 grades of evidence only to the ones where we 12 did a NEL search, plus there was some 13 systematic review. 14 And I -- it might be worthwhile to 15 say, okay, well, does everybody buy into this, 16 and if so, then to try to follow this to the 17 extent possible. And if you're not following 18 that NEL process, you never give a numeric 19 grade, I, II, III, you just give some 20 qualitative, but it's not -- it's not, you 21 know, an official -- 22 Now, there are probably other ways NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 210 1 to do it, but I think we just need to make 2 sure we are all sort of -- 3 MEMBER SLAVIN: I want to mention 4 to Larry, if you look at our remaining 5 research topics, we started with our NEL 6 searches. So most of those up there are not 7 going to be NEL searches, the things that are 8 still, you know, in the process. 9 So, I agree with you that I don't 10 think we can -- we can't give them a grade, so 11 they won't be graded. 12 MEMBER APPEL: Even though some of 13 these might be your stronger relationships, or 14 some of them. 15 MEMBER NELSON: This is Mim. But 16 I also wonder, again, as procedural is, 17 thinking about in particular some of the ones 18 that you've presented and also, you know, 19 looking at the Dietary Guidelines book, if 20 there is -- it's the trimming of the sails. 21 At some point I think we're not 22 going to be able to fully answer all 180 of NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 211 1 these questions, and I think that we need to 2 do some pretty quick triaging within our 3 subcommittees to say all we need to do is 4 update a few references in the 2005 Dietary 5 Guidelines. 6 We did it pretty well, we did a 7 search, but things haven't really changed in 8 terms of what we would recommend, because it's 9 a whole process when we do this NEL search and 10 the way we present it. 11 And I really think within our 12 subcommittees we should do some -- maybe in 13 our next individual subcommittee calls, do a 14 pretty quick triage on what we need to trim, 15 also based on what we hear over the next 16 couple of days, because 180 questions is -- I 17 think it's actually ridiculous. 18 And especially when the focus 19 should be more on the patterns, caloric 20 intake, obesity. I mean, I just sort of am 21 echoing what Linda has said, but I think we 22 need to do some really quick trimming. NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 212 1 MEMBER ACHTERBERG: I have a 2 suggestion to offer. This is Cheryl. I 3 think, as we've listened to the work we've 4 presented so far today, one of the major 5 outcomes of all our effort here is to identify 6 what the research gaps are. 7 And, very quickly, as we were 8 looking at whatever individual question we're 9 focused on, I think we can come to some 10 conclusions whether there needs to be a lot 11 more research, or whether there doesn't need 12 to be a lot more research, and that might help 13 us do this triage. 14 You know, to focus on those areas 15 where we know we need to look. Well, if we 16 know we can't answer the question and more 17 research has to happen, let's say that, and 18 then move on and focus more of our attention, 19 our time in those areas where we think there's 20 enough evidence that we can come to a more 21 precise answer. 22 MEMBER PI-SUNYER: I do think -- NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 213 1 this is Xavier -- that some of the 2 subcommittees will have an easier time than 3 others. I think this has been a particularly 4 difficult one, and it will continue to be. 5 I think things like ethanol and 6 fluids and electrolytes and food safety, I 7 think we can -- won't have this kind of 8 difficulty. 9 So, it's not across the board. 10 It's just some particular subcommittees have a 11 much more difficult job. 12 MEMBER ACHTERBERG: And might I 13 mention, this is a small subcommittee. 14 MEMBER PEREZ-ESCAMILLA: But it's 15 bigger than the food safety subcommittee. 16 MEMBER SLAVIN: I just wanted to 17 -- just the remaining research topics that we 18 have up there, and some of these obviously are 19 in progress, they're just not completed, so 20 we're not going to present them today, but the 21 food groups, whole grains and also animal 22 protein products where we're asking questions NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 214 1 about different animal protein and if there 2 are health relationships with that. 3 Vegetable protein, animal versus 4 vegetable. Fiber, carbohydrate type, which is 5 a large -- and some of this is background 6 that's already in the Dietary Guidelines and 7 it will be expanded. There's not a lot of new 8 research. 9 Liquids versus solids, a very 10 large area. Noncaloric sweeteners, also a 11 large area. Satiety and then some of the 12 modeling questions that are related to our 13 subcommittee, we appreciate. 14 Adjusting percent of animal and 15 plant protein intake, if we do -- you know, 16 since there isn't a ton of data on vegans 17 versus vegetarians versus animal product 18 protein-eaters, if we can just model that and 19 see if we do the modeling, what type of 20 nutrient deficiencies, problems we run into, 21 if any. 22 And then macronutrient proportions NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 215 1 and nutrient adequacy is also on our 2 committee's plate. 3 CHAIR VAN HORN: Okay. Other 4 comments or questions, either related to this 5 subcommittee or other topics that go along the 6 line of what Larry was saying? 7 One thing I would also add, based 8 on just kind of following up to what Cheryl 9 said, there may be some lightbulbs that go on, 10 you know, as we continue with this over 11 tomorrow. 12 I mean, we've heard -- we've heard 13 some amazing, you know, and very comprehensive 14 reports today. But they are only the 15 beginning, and we have several more that are 16 going to take place tomorrow. 17 And since I've had the opportunity 18 sit in on several of the subcommittees, I 19 would venture that the energy balance group 20 and the discussion again -- you know, I sound 21 like a broken record, but our focus is on 22 obesity and the epidemic we're facing, or that NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 216 1 we have currently in our country and I think 2 that in many ways if we had to pick one 3 priority area, we're sort of charged with that 4 one, because we've already, you know, 5 recognized and identified that that is public 6 enemy number one at this point. 7 So, I think that we will want to 8 keep that in mind as we go forward. I think 9 that we have spoken over and over again, and 10 we haven't even begun to talk about this yet, 11 but we will tomorrow, about primary prevention 12 of obesity which, of course, will, without a 13 doubt, address children, and the need to look 14 at children, growth, even gestational weight 15 gain that we discussed earlier today in some 16 of our smaller group sessions. 17 So, you know, I think that as we 18 go forward, some of these questions, not all 19 of them, I'm sure, but some of them may fall 20 into place, and into rank order as far as what 21 we should be addressing first and foremost in 22 order to, you know, really stay true to our NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 217 1 goals that were identified up front. 2 Other topics along that line or 3 other things that anybody in the group would 4 like to raise? 5 MEMBER FUKAGAWA: This is Naomi 6 Fukagawa. I agree with you, Linda, and I do 7 think that in some ways we're somewhat 8 strapped by the fact that we've been grouped 9 into nutrient categories. 10 And really, what we want is an 11 integrated view on the diet that will affect 12 the health and well-being of the population. 13 So perhaps we don't need, as Larry was saying, 14 to continue to, you know, try to whittle away 15 at some of the more sort of specific types of 16 questions, but perhaps put our energies 17 towards a more global, integrated view, or at 18 least that's my thought. 19 CHAIR VAN HORN: Other topics? 20 MEMBER NICKOLS-RICHARDSON: This 21 is Shelly. I don't have a question, but just 22 a comment, that Joanne and your committee, I NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W. (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 218 1 very much appreciate this analysis that you 2 have done, because I think now when nutrient 3 adequacy goes to look at the food intake and 4 look at patterns, this will help support if we 5 find gaps in food intake, that there are 6 health outcomes, health consequences of that. 7 So, in terms of connecting pieces, 8 this is going to be very helpful for our 9 committee in informing us on what those gaps 10 mean. 11 CHAIR VAN HORN: All right. Well, 12 I think we have really covered the territory. 13 I think for those listening in, the group 14 here is still bright and eager, but clearly 15 has seen a busy day, and is ready, perhaps for 16 a little rest, and maybe you are, too. 17 We appreciate everybody's interest 18 and attention, and we will adjourn for today 19 and reconvene tomorrow morning at eight a.m., 20 Eastern Time. Thank you all very much. 21 (Whereupon, at 4:38 p.m., the 22 meeting concluded for the day.)